#478 overall · NO · 164.1 projected half-PPR pts · -103.3 Draft Value
Tyler Shough — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Tyler Shough is a QB on the New Orleans roster with a 2025 season that showed real dual-threat capability. He completed 221 of 327 pass attempts for 2,384 yards and 10 touchdowns against 6 interceptions, while adding 186 rushing yards and 3 rushing touchdowns on 45 carries. That rushing contribution keeps him relevant in a position group where ground production matters for fantasy scoring. If you are building a deep roster or need a late-round quarterback stash, his 2025 track record gives you something concrete to evaluate.
What the model projects
The projection for Shough in 2026 is 164.1 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -103.3, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the quarterback position. He ranks QB27 at the position and #478 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board. His bye week is Week 8.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 327 | 221 | 2384 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 186 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 162.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 327 | 221 | 2384 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 186 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 166.0 |
The range of outcomes
The 2025 season is the only data window available across the three-year aggregate, meaning the historical record and the single-season line are identical: 2,384 passing yards, 10 passing touchdowns, 6 interceptions, 186 rushing yards, and 3 rushing touchdowns. That limited sample makes the outcome range wide. The rushing floor — 45 attempts, 186 yards, 3 scores — provides a modest but real fantasy baseline. The ceiling depends on whether the passing volume expands beyond the 327 attempts logged in 2025. At 3 fumbles and 2 lost, ball security is a factor worth watching.
How to draft him
Shough is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. That means there is no pick cost to plan around — he is effectively a free agent on draft day. At QB27 and #478 overall with a negative draft value, he belongs at the very back end of a roster as a speculative stash, not as a planned starter. Draft him only after your starting quarterback situation is fully secured, and treat him as a contingency option rather than a weekly plug-in.
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Questions drafters ask
His projection of 164.1 points and a draft value of -103.3 place him below replacement level at the position — he ranks QB27. He is best suited as a depth stash, not a planned starter.
He completed 221 of 327 passes for 2,384 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions, and added 186 rushing yards and 3 rushing touchdowns on 45 carries, with 3 fumbles (2 lost).
Yes — his 2025 line included 45 rush attempts, 186 yards, and 3 rushing touchdowns, which provides a modest but real fantasy floor beyond pure passing production.
He has no market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to have one. There is no pick cost to plan around; he is available as a free addition at the back of any draft.