#348 overall · CAR · 82.6 projected half-PPR pts · -91.8 Draft Value
Ryan Fitzgerald — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Ryan Fitzgerald handled kicking duties for Carolina in 2025, connecting on 24 of 29 field goal attempts with 27 extra points on 30 tries. His range showed up in the long-distance numbers: 8 makes from 40-49 yards and 2 from 50-plus. The three-year aggregate through 2025 matches the single-season line exactly, which tells you the 2025 season is the full picture of his recent NFL work. For a drafter who wants a kicker with documented range and a known NFL role, that is the starting point.
What the model projects
The projection is 82.6 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value is -91.8, placing him at K33 and #348 overall in Tier 9. Those numbers reflect where he sits relative to replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. Carolina's bye falls in Week 5, a scheduling detail worth noting when setting a lineup around him.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | 4 | 27 | 107.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 24 | 4 | 27 | 23.0 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide. The bottom 10% of outcomes lands at 0.0 points, and the 25th percentile is just 8.2. The median simulated season comes in at 63.0 points. The upside tail is real: the 75th percentile is 115.0 and the 90th percentile reaches 142.6. That spread is characteristic of the kicker position broadly. A typical season here is 63.0 points, but a strong season pushes well past 100.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Fitzgerald is not being drafted consistently enough across public platforms to carry a market ADP. In practice, that means he is available as a late-round or end-of-draft selection in most leagues. Kickers are routinely the last position filled in a snake draft, and his #348 overall rank and K33 position rank reflect his standing in the value-over-replacement order. Draft him only after every other positional need is addressed, and treat the Week 5 bye as a roster management note from the moment you pick him.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
He went 24-for-29 on field goals, including 8 makes from 40-49 yards and 2 from 50-plus, while converting 27 of 30 extra point attempts. He missed 4 field goals on the season.
The 90th-percentile simulated season is 142.6 half-PPR points. The 75th percentile is 115.0. The median is 63.0, so strong outcomes require things to break right, but the ceiling is there.
He has no consistent market ADP across public platforms, which means he is effectively undrafted in most leagues. Take him only after all other positional needs are met, typically at the very end of the draft.
Yes. The 10th-percentile simulated season is 0.0 points and the 25th percentile is just 8.2. The downside scenarios are severe, which is reflected in his -91.8 draft value and K33 position rank.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the numbers
The same names cash in your league every year
That isn't luck. Those managers have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written. Paste it in a couple of minutes and RotoAlpha writes the book on every rival: who reaches, who chases runs, who overpays. The rival report is free.
Get the book on your rivals →