#917 overall · NO · 56.1 projected half-PPR pts · -203.8 Draft Value
Spencer Rattler — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Spencer Rattler is a New Orleans quarterback with two NFL seasons on record. In 2025 he completed 174 of 257 pass attempts for 1,586 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions, adding 31 rush attempts for 167 yards on the ground. That rushing contribution is real: over the two-season sample he has averaged 24.5 rush attempts and 156.5 rush yards per year, which gives him a floor that a pure pocket passer would not have. His 2025 touchdown total of 8 was double his 2024 output of 4, and his completion rate climbed alongside it. For a drafter who needs a late-round handcuff or a streaming option at quarterback, the 2025 trajectory is the argument.
What the model projects
The projection is 56.1 half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. Rattler ranks QB41 at the position and #917 overall, sitting in Tier 9. His draft value is -203.8, meaning the projection lands well below replacement level at the quarterback position in a 12-team half-PPR format. These numbers place him firmly outside the range of quarterbacks who carry meaningful fantasy value in standard league structures. His bye week is Week 8.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Fum | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 228 | 130 | 1317 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 146 | 5 | 72.3 |
| 2025 | 257 | 174 | 1586 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 167 | 4 | 103.6 |
| 3-yr avg | 242.5 | 152 | 1451.5 | 6 | 5 | 24.5 | 156.5 | 4.5 | 93.0 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide and skewed heavily toward low-end results. The p10 outcome is 0.0 points, and the median simulated season lands at just 17.7 points. The p25 is 8.8 points. The upside tail exists but is modest: the p75 outcome is 60.4 points and the p90 is 123.1 points. In practical terms, the majority of simulated seasons produce fewer fantasy points than a single strong week from a starter-caliber quarterback. The p90 ceiling of 123.1 points represents the best 10 percent of outcomes and is the only scenario in which Rattler approaches usable fantasy production over a full season.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Rattler does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being selected consistently enough to register a median draft position. In a standard 12-team snake draft, he is effectively undrafted. At QB41 and #917 overall with a draft value of -203.8, he belongs on a waiver wire watchlist rather than a draft queue. If a roster spot opens late in a very deep league, he is a name to know given his 2025 rushing activity, but there is no pick to spend here in any conventional draft context.
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Questions drafters ask
He is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to have a market ADP, and the model ranks him QB41 and #917 overall with a draft value of -203.8. In a standard 12-team half-PPR format, he projects well below replacement level at the position.
Over the 2024 and 2025 seasons he averaged 24.5 rush attempts and 156.5 rush yards per year. In 2025 specifically he carried 31 times for 167 yards, which is the more recent and larger of the two single-season samples.
The p90 simulated outcome is 123.1 half-PPR points, meaning only the top 10 percent of simulated seasons reach that level. The median simulated season is 17.7 points, and the p25 outcome is 8.8 points, so the distribution is heavily weighted toward low production.
Yes. His passing touchdowns rose from 4 to 8, his completions went from 130 to 174, his passing yards increased from 1,317 to 1,586, and his rush attempts grew from 18 to 31. His interception total held steady at 5 in both seasons, and his fumbles lost dropped from 3 to 2.
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Beyond the numbers
The same names cash in your league every year
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