#921 overall · CLE · 55.8 projected half-PPR pts · -211.7 Draft Value
Shedeur Sanders — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Shedeur Sanders enters the 2026 season as Cleveland's quarterback after a 2025 campaign that produced 1,400 passing yards, 7 passing touchdowns, and 169 rushing yards on 21 carries. He completed 120 of 212 attempts — a 56.6% completion rate — and added a rushing touchdown. The rushing contribution gives him a floor that pure pocket passers lack, and his bye falls on Week 11, a manageable slot for roster management.
What the model projects
The projection is 55.8 half-PPR fantasy points for 2026. His draft value sits at -211.7, meaning he projects well below replacement level at the quarterback position. He ranks QB41 at the position and #921 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 212 | 120 | 1400 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 169 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 94.9 |
| 3-yr avg | 212 | 120 | 1400 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 96.9 |
The range of outcomes
The 3-year aggregate stat line matches his 2025 season exactly — 212 pass attempts, 120 completions, 1,400 pass yards, 7 passing touchdowns, 21 rush attempts, 169 rush yards, and 1 rushing touchdown — indicating his NFL sample is concentrated in that single season. With a limited track record, the variance around the 55.8-point projection is meaningful. A stronger volume environment could push the outcome higher; a reduced role would compress it further. The 10 interceptions and 2 fumbles (1 lost) from 2025 are the clearest downside markers in the data.
How to draft him
Sanders is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. He is QB41 and #921 overall, deep in Tier 9. In a standard 12-team snake draft, he is a late-round or undrafted option at best, relevant only in deep leagues or as a streaming placeholder. Roster a starter first; Sanders is a contingency, not a plan.
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Questions drafters ask
He completed 120 of 212 pass attempts (56.6%) for 1,400 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 10 interceptions. He also carried 21 times for 169 yards and 1 rushing touchdown, with 2 fumbles, 1 lost.
The projection is 55.8 half-PPR fantasy points, with a draft value of -211.7 — well below replacement level at the quarterback position.
He is QB41 at the position and #921 overall, sitting in Tier 9 on the board.
No. Sanders does not have a market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce one. He should be treated as an undrafted or deep-league-only option.