#633 overall · LV · 154.5 projected half-PPR pts · -112.9 Draft Value
Kirk Cousins — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
There is not a strong fantasy case for Kirk Cousins in 2026. He lands at QB30 and #633 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board. His three-year averages tell the story plainly: 344.3 pass attempts, 228.3 completions, 2,520 pass yards, 15.3 passing touchdowns, and 8.7 interceptions per season. The 2025 season produced just 1,721 pass yards, 10 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 269 attempts. If there is any case to be made, it is narrow: he is a veteran starter with a pulse, and in deep two-QB leagues where roster spots demand it, a QB30 with a known role is at least a known quantity. In standard single-QB formats, that case is very thin.
What the model projects
The projection is 154.5 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value is -112.9, meaning he projects 112.9 points below replacement level at the quarterback position. That is a Tier 9 profile. The three-year average of 15.3 passing touchdowns and 2,520 pass yards per season anchors the projection, with 2025's reduced output — 1,721 yards and 10 touchdowns on 166 completions — factoring into the recent trend. His rushing contribution has been minimal across all three seasons: 10.7 rush yards per season on 17 attempts, with 0.3 rushing touchdowns on average.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 311 | 216 | 2331 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 154.7 |
| 2024 | 453 | 303 | 3508 | 18 | 16 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 192.3 |
| 2025 | 269 | 166 | 1721 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 108.5 |
| 3-yr avg | 344.3 | 228.3 | 2520 | 15.3 | 8.7 | 17 | 10.7 | 0.3 | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | 156.2 |
The range of outcomes
Cousins carries meaningful variance given the spread in his recent season-to-season output. In 2023 he posted 2,331 pass yards and 18 touchdowns on 311 attempts. In 2024 he threw for 3,508 yards and 18 touchdowns but also posted 16 interceptions and 12 fumbles on 453 attempts. In 2025 those numbers compressed sharply to 1,721 yards and 10 touchdowns on 269 attempts. The three-year fumble average is 7.0 per season, and the interception average is 8.7 — turnover risk is a consistent feature of his profile. The upside scenario looks something like the 2024 volume; the downside looks like 2025 or worse. Neither end of that band makes him a reliable fantasy starter in single-QB formats.
How to draft him
Cousins has no market ADP available — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to register a median pick. In single-QB leagues, that is the right market signal to follow: at QB30 and #633 overall with a -112.9 draft value, he is a below-replacement-level option and should be treated accordingly. In two-QB or superflex formats where the position pool runs deep, he could serve as a late-round handcuff or streaming option, but only after all meaningful positional value has been addressed. His bye is Week 13, which is a playoff week in most leagues — factor that into any roster construction decision.
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Questions drafters ask
At QB30 and #633 overall with a draft value of -112.9, he projects 112.9 points below replacement level at quarterback. In a single-QB format, he is not a player to target — there is no market ADP because he is not being consistently drafted across platforms.
Over the past three seasons he has averaged 344.3 pass attempts, 2,520 pass yards, 15.3 passing touchdowns, and 8.7 interceptions per year. His 2025 season was his lightest of the three: 269 attempts, 1,721 yards, and 10 touchdowns.
It is a consistent part of his profile. He averaged 7.0 fumbles and 8.7 interceptions per season over the 2023–2025 span. In 2024 alone he threw 16 interceptions and fumbled 12 times.
Yes — Week 13 is a playoff week in most standard leagues. If you were to roster Cousins as a starter or streamer, you would need a backup plan for that week specifically.