#447 overall · WAS · 62.3 projected half-PPR pts · -106.9 Draft Value
Austin Seibert — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Austin Seibert's 2024 season is the clearest argument in his favor. He connected on 27 of 30 field goal attempts, missing just 2, and converted 22 of 24 extra point tries. His range showed up in the numbers: 17 makes from inside 40 yards, 8 from 40-49, and 2 from 50 or beyond. That is a full workload with a strong accuracy rate, and it came with Washington, a team that generated enough scoring opportunities to keep a kicker busy across a full season.
What the model projects
The projection is 62.3 half-PPR fantasy points. Seibert sits at K41 and #447 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -106.9, which is below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | — | 1 | 4.0 |
| 2024 | 27 | 2 | 22 | 113.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 14 | 1 | 11.5 | 10.5 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide. The p10 outcome is 0.0 points, meaning the bottom 10% of simulated seasons produce nothing. The p25 sits at just 3.9 points. The median simulated season lands at 29.5 points, well below the 62.3 point projection. The upside end of the band is real: the p75 is 75.6 points and the p90 reaches 116.3. That spread reflects the high variance inherent to the kicker position. A strong season is possible, but so is a near-zero outcome.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Seibert is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. In practice, that means he is available as a late-round or undrafted addition in most 2026 snake drafts. Given his Tier 9 placement and a draft value of -106.9, there is no urgency to spend a pick on him early. Kickers are typically the last position filled, and Seibert fits that pattern. If you want him, the window to add him is late, and the cost should be minimal.
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Questions drafters ask
He sits at K41 and #447 overall with a draft value of -106.9, which is below replacement level. The projection of 62.3 points and a median simulated season of 29.5 points do not make a compelling case for spending a meaningful pick on him.
He made 27 of 30 field goal attempts with 2 misses, including 8 from 40-49 yards and 2 from 50-plus. He also converted 22 of 24 extra point tries. It was a productive and accurate season by the numbers.
Very wide. The p10 simulated season is 0.0 points and the p25 is 3.9, while the p90 reaches 116.3. The median simulated season is 29.5 points, well below the 62.3 point projection. The band reflects significant season-to-season variance.
He has no market ADP, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to establish one. He is effectively available as a late or undrafted addition in most 2026 snake drafts.
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Beyond the numbers
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