#293 overall · BUF · 45.2 projected half-PPR pts · -71.7 Draft Value
Ty Johnson — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Ty Johnson is a depth back on Buffalo's roster who has quietly built a consistent three-year track record as a receiver out of the backfield. In 2024 he caught 18 of 25 targets for 284 receiving yards and scored four total touchdowns — three receiving, one rushing. In 2025 he followed that with 24 receptions on 33 targets for 263 receiving yards, adding two receiving touchdowns and three rushing touchdowns. Over the three seasons from 2023 through 2025, he averaged 21.7 targets, 16.3 receptions, 203 receiving yards, and 2.0 receiving touchdowns per year. That receiving floor is real and repeatable. For a drafter building late-round depth, Johnson's pass-catching role gives him a path to points even when his rushing volume stays modest.
What the model projects
The projection for Johnson is 45.2 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value is -71.7, meaning he projects below replacement level at the running back position. He ranks RB64 at his position and #293 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board. Buffalo's bye week falls in Week 7.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 132 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28.9 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 213 | 1 | 25 | 18 | 284 | 3 | — | 0 | 0 | 82.7 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 200 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 263 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 88.3 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 40.3 | 181.7 | 1.3 | 21.7 | 16.3 | 203 | 2 | 0.7 | — | — | 66.4 |
The range of outcomes
Johnson's three-year history illustrates the variance in his role. In 2023 he totaled 30 rush attempts for 132 yards and 7 receptions for 62 yards, with 1 receiving touchdown. In 2024 his receiving work expanded sharply — 284 receiving yards and four total touchdowns on just 41 rush attempts. In 2025 he posted 50 rush attempts for 200 yards and 24 receptions for 263 yards, with five total touchdowns. The three-year averages — 40.3 rush attempts, 181.7 rush yards, 16.3 receptions, 203 receiving yards — reflect a back whose workload can shift meaningfully from season to season. The upside scenario leans on a repeat of his 2024–2025 receiving and touchdown production; the floor is a 2023-style limited role.
How to draft him
Johnson does not have a market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to register one. At a projection of 45.2 points and a draft value of -71.7, he sits at RB64 and #293 overall in Tier 9. He is a late-roster stash, best added only after your starting lineup and handcuff needs are fully addressed. His receiving track record makes him a more interesting late add than his rushing volume alone would suggest, but the projection reflects a below-replacement-level expectation. Draft him only if you have a roster spot to spare and want exposure to his pass-catching upside.
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Questions drafters ask
At a projection of 45.2 points and a draft value of -71.7, Johnson projects below replacement level — he ranks RB64 and #293 overall in Tier 9. He is a late-roster depth option, not a starter, and only worth a spot after your core lineup is set.
Over 2023–2025 he averaged 21.7 targets, 16.3 receptions, and 203 receiving yards per season. His single-season peaks were 25 targets and 284 receiving yards in 2024, and 33 targets and 263 receiving yards in 2025 — a consistent pass-catching presence out of the backfield.
He scored 1 touchdown in 2023 (1 receiving), 4 in 2024 (3 receiving, 1 rushing), and 5 in 2025 (2 receiving, 3 rushing). His three-year averages are 2.0 receiving touchdowns and 1.3 rushing touchdowns per season.
Johnson has no market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to register one. He is effectively an undrafted free agent in most leagues, available off the waiver wire after your draft concludes.