#199 overall · WAS · 70.8 projected half-PPR pts · -41.2 Draft Value
Chig Okonkwo — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Chig Okonkwo has been one of the more consistent volume accumulators at the tight end position over the past three seasons. He has posted 77, 70, and 79 targets in 2023, 2024, and 2025 respectively — a three-year average of 75.3 targets per season. His reception totals have been equally steady: 54, 52, and 56 catches, averaging 54 per year. That kind of target floor is real. He has also shown modest receiving yardage consistency, averaging 522.3 yards per season over that same three-year window. For a drafter who needs a late-round tight end with a reliable floor, Okonkwo's usage pattern is the argument.
What the model projects
The projection for Okonkwo in 2026 is 70.8 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -41.2, placing him at TE28 and #199 overall — a Tier 9 player on the board. That negative draft value means the projection lands below replacement level at the tight end position in a standard 12-team half-PPR format. He carries a bye in Week 7.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 54 | 528 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 86.4 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 70 | 52 | 479 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 85.6 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 56 | 560 | 2 | — | 0 | 0 | 96.0 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7.7 | — | 75.3 | 54 | 522.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | — | — | 90.2 |
The range of outcomes
Okonkwo's three-year history gives a clear picture of his ceiling and floor. His best receiving season was 560 yards on 56 receptions in 2025; his lowest was 479 yards on 52 catches in 2024. Touchdown production has been limited — he has totaled just five receiving touchdowns across three seasons, averaging 1.7 per year. That touchdown variance is the primary driver of his outcome range. A season with three or four scores looks very different from one with one. His target volume has been stable enough that a dramatic downside in volume is not what the history suggests — but the scoring upside is narrow and has not materialized consistently.
How to draft him
Okonkwo is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. That means he is available as a free agent in most draft queues — a late-round or post-draft addition rather than a pick you need to plan around. At TE28 and #199 overall with a -41.2 draft value, he projects as a below-replacement option. He fits best as a streaming candidate or a depth piece on a roster that has already secured a higher-ranked tight end. His Week 7 bye is worth noting when building your roster schedule.
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Questions drafters ask
His three-year average is 75.3 targets per season, with individual season totals of 77 (2023), 70 (2024), and 79 (2025). The volume is consistent, but it has translated to an average of only 1.7 receiving touchdowns per year, which limits his fantasy ceiling.
The projection is 70.8 half-PPR fantasy points. That produces a draft value of -41.2, ranking him TE28 and #199 overall in Tier 9 — below replacement level at the position.
Okonkwo does not have a market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce one. He is effectively available off the waiver wire in most drafts.
His three-year history shows a receiving yardage range of 479 to 560 yards, with touchdown totals ranging from 1 to 2 per season. The upside is capped by limited scoring opportunities; the floor is a low-volume, low-touchdown line that has characterized his worst recent seasons.