Trey Smack — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Trey Smack is Green Bay's kicker, which means he sits behind one of the NFL's more consistent offenses. Kickers are the last picks in most drafts, and the difference between a serviceable one and a forgotten one often comes down to opportunity — field-goal attempts generated by an offense that moves the ball. Smack's projection of 120.7 half-PPR points reflects a kicker who is expected to be active and relevant. His Tier 9 placement and K11 ranking tell you exactly where the model sees him: a back-end starter, not a priority, but a player worth knowing when the kicker run begins.

What the model projects

The projection is 120.7 half-PPR fantasy points. Smack sits at #216 overall and ranks K11 at his position, carrying a draft value of -53.1 — below replacement level for the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. He is placed in Tier 9. His bye week is Week 11, which is worth noting when building a late-round roster.

The range of outcomes

The simulated season band is wide, as it is for every kicker. In a bottom-10% season, Smack finishes at 68.1 points. The 25th percentile lands at 98.9, and the median simulated season comes in at 123.1 — slightly above the point estimate of 120.7. A strong season (75th percentile) produces 141.1 points, and a top-10% outcome reaches 149.7. That spread from floor to ceiling — 68.1 to 149.7 — reflects the inherent volatility of the position. The median and the point estimate are close, which means the distribution is reasonably balanced around the projection.

How to draft him

Smack is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, so there is no public consensus pick number to reference. In practice, that means he is available deep in any draft — treat him as a final-round target once your roster is otherwise set. At K11, he is a depth option at the position. Draft your starters, fill your flex spots, and let the kicker round sort itself out; Smack will be there.

The projection is 120.7 half-PPR fantasy points. The median simulated season is 123.1, which is close to that figure, suggesting a balanced distribution of outcomes around the projection.

He ranks K11 at the position and #216 overall, placed in Tier 9. His draft value of -53.1 puts him below replacement level for the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format.

In a bottom-10% simulated season he scores 68.1 points; in a top-10% season he reaches 149.7. The 25th percentile is 98.9 and the 75th is 141.1, reflecting the wide variance typical of the kicker position.

There is no market ADP available — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce one. He is a late-draft target, best picked up after all other roster spots are filled.