#212 overall · LAR · 77.0 projected half-PPR pts · -51.2 Draft Value · Market ADP 106.7
Blake Corum — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Blake Corum took a significant step forward in 2025, posting 145 rush attempts for 746 yards and 6 rushing touchdowns. That touchdown total is the clearest reason to keep him on your radar: six scores on a modest workload is a rate that translates to real fantasy value in the right situation. His receiving work ticked up as well, with 14 targets, 8 receptions, and 36 receiving yards in 2025, a modest but real presence in the passing game. The three-year averages tell a story of growing opportunity: 101.5 rush attempts, 476.5 rush yards, and 11 targets per season across 2023-2025. Corum is a Tier 9 back with a defined role in the LAR offense, and his bye falls on Week 11.
What the model projects
The projection for Corum is 77.0 half-PPR fantasy points this season. He ranks RB46 at his position and #212 overall, with a draft value of -51.2, placing him below replacement level at the running back position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The median simulated season lands at 72.2 points, close to the point estimate, which signals a relatively centered distribution around the projection.
| Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 58 | 207 | — | 8 | 7 | 58 | 30.0 |
| 2025 | 145 | 746 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 36 | 118.2 |
| 3-yr avg | 101.5 | 476.5 | 3 | 11 | 7.5 | 47 | 74.1 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band on Corum is wide. At the low end, 10% of simulated seasons finish at or below 11.2 points, a near-zero fantasy contribution. The 25th percentile sits at 33.7 points, still a fringe-starter ceiling in most weeks. The median is 72.2 points. From there, the upside opens up: the 75th percentile reaches 114.6 points and the 90th percentile climbs to 161.4 points. That top-decile outcome would represent a genuinely useful fantasy season. The gap between the floor and the ceiling is substantial, which means the outcome depends heavily on how his role develops over the course of the year.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Market ADP on Corum sits at 106.7, which translates to pick 9.11 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. His projection and rank place him at RB46 and #212 overall. If you want him on your roster, the market is currently pricing him in the ninth round. Given his negative draft value, he is best treated as a late-round depth add rather than a core piece of your roster construction.
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Questions drafters ask
The model projects him for 77.0 half-PPR points, and his draft value of -51.2 places him below replacement level at RB, ranking RB46 and #212 overall. He carries real upside in the 90th-percentile band at 161.4 points, but the floor is very low at 11.2 points. He is a depth option, not a foundational pick.
Market ADP has him going at pick 9.11 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. If you want him, that is the current price the market is charging.
In 2025 he logged 145 rush attempts, 746 rush yards, and 6 rushing touchdowns, along with 14 targets, 8 receptions, and 36 receiving yards. His 2024 season was lighter at 58 rush attempts and 207 rush yards.
The 90th-percentile simulated outcome is 161.4 half-PPR points. The 75th percentile lands at 114.6 points. Those outcomes require things to break right, but they are within the range the model sees as possible.
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Beyond the numbers
The same names cash in your league every year
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