#224 overall · TEN · 64.3 projected half-PPR pts · -52.6 Draft Value
Tyjae Spears — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Tyjae Spears has shown a consistent receiving presence across three NFL seasons. In 2023 he caught 52 of 70 targets for 385 yards, and even as his raw volume dipped in subsequent years, his reception rate held up — 30 catches on 35 targets in 2024, and 45 catches on 50 targets in 2025. That 3-year average of 42.3 receptions and 51.7 targets per season tells you he is a back who gets used in the passing game when given the opportunity. His 3-year rushing average of 85.3 attempts and 349.3 yards per season is modest but real. If Tennessee's backfield situation shifts in his favor, the receiving floor is already established.
What the model projects
The projection for Spears in 2026 is 64.3 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -52.6, placing him #224 overall and RB48 in Tier 9. Those numbers reflect a player who projects below replacement level at the running back position in a standard 12-team half-PPR format. Tennessee's bye week falls in Week 9.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 453 | 2 | 70 | 52 | 385 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 127.8 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 312 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 224 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 98.6 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 283 | 2 | 50 | 45 | 264 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 89.2 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 85.3 | 349.3 | 2.7 | 51.7 | 42.3 | 291 | 0.7 | 0.3 | — | — | 105.6 |
The range of outcomes
Spears's three-season history illustrates how wide his outcome range can be. In 2023 he posted 453 rush yards, 385 receiving yards, 2 rush touchdowns, and 1 receiving touchdown across 100 carries and 70 targets. By 2025 those numbers had contracted to 283 rush yards, 264 receiving yards, 2 rush touchdowns, 0 receiving touchdowns, 72 carries, and 50 targets. The 3-year averages — 85.3 rush attempts, 349.3 rush yards, 51.7 targets, 291 receiving yards, 2.7 rush touchdowns, 0.7 receiving touchdowns — sit comfortably between those poles. A season closer to his 2023 line would look very different from one closer to his 2025 line, and that variance is the central risk with Spears.
How to draft him
Spears is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, which means there is no established draft-slot cost to plan around. At #224 overall and RB48 in Tier 9, he projects as a below-replacement-level back in a 12-team half-PPR league. He is a late-roster stash candidate — someone you add if you have a roster spot to spare and want exposure to a back with a demonstrated receiving role. Do not count on him as a starter in your lineup construction.
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Questions drafters ask
He projects at 64.3 points with a draft value of -52.6, placing him RB48 and #224 overall in Tier 9 — below replacement level. He is a late-roster stash candidate, not a player to build around.
Yes, it's the most consistent part of his profile. Over three seasons he has averaged 51.7 targets and 42.3 receptions per year, with a high of 52 catches on 70 targets in 2023. The receiving role is real when he's on the field.
His rushing volume has declined each year — 100 attempts in 2023, 84 in 2024, 72 in 2025 — with a 3-year average of 85.3 attempts and 349.3 rush yards per season. The trend is downward, though he has scored at least 2 rush touchdowns in each of the three seasons.
He does not have a market ADP — he isn't being drafted consistently enough across platforms to establish one. There is no defined pick cost to plan around heading into 2026 drafts.