#205 overall · TEN · 86.7 projected half-PPR pts · -42.3 Draft Value
Tennessee Titans — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
There is not a strong affirmative case here, and the facts say so plainly. The Tennessee Titans DST sits at DST30 and #205 overall, deep in Tier 9 — the bottom of the board. Their three-year average of 435 points allowed per season reflects a defense that has consistently surrendered scoring, and that number climbed from 367 in 2023 to 460 in 2024 to 478 in 2025. The sack totals have fluctuated — 45 in 2023, down to 32 in 2024, back to 42 in 2025 — and the three-year average of 39.7 sacks is serviceable, but it has not translated into fantasy-relevant production at the unit level. If there is any thread to pull, it is the 2025 season's 3 defensive touchdowns and 42 sacks, but those numbers sit against the backdrop of the worst points-allowed total in the three-year window.
What the model projects
The projection is 86.7 half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. That produces a Draft Value of -42.3, meaning the Titans DST projects 42.3 points below replacement level at the position. The bye week falls in Week 9. There is no positive value-over-replacement case to be made at this number — the projection and the rank tell the same story.
| INT | Sacks | FF | FR | TD | Saf | PA | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 6 | 45 | 13 | 8 | 1 | — | 367 | 92.0 |
| 2024 | 11 | 32 | 10 | 6 | — | 1 | 460 | 78.0 |
| 2025 | 6 | 42 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 478 | 95.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 7.7 | 39.7 | 10 | 7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 435 | 88.3 |
The range of outcomes
No band data is available for this unit, so the projection of 86.7 points stands as the single headline figure. What the three-year history does illustrate is meaningful variance: points allowed ranged from 367 to 478, sacks from 32 to 45, interceptions from 6 to 11, and defensive touchdowns from 1 to 3 in any given season. That spread is real, but even the best single-season outputs in this window did not push the unit into fantasy-relevant territory at the DST position. The floor is low and the ceiling, while not zero, has not historically cleared the bar needed to justify a roster spot in a competitive 12-team league.
How to draft him
The Titans DST is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. That absence is itself informative — this unit is not on most drafters' boards. At DST30 and #205 overall with a -42.3 Draft Value, there is no round in which spending a pick on this unit is a sound allocation of resources. In a 12-team snake draft, the position can be addressed late with units that project above replacement level. The Titans DST does not qualify. Note the Week 9 bye when managing your roster if you do roster this unit in a deep or best-ball format.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection is 86.7 half-PPR points with a Draft Value of -42.3, placing them at DST30 and #205 overall in Tier 9. That is 42.3 points below replacement level at the position — the numbers do not support rostering this unit in a competitive 12-team league.
Points allowed have risen each year: 367 in 2023, 460 in 2024, and 478 in 2025, for a three-year average of 435. Sacks were 45, 32, and 42 respectively (39.7 average). Interceptions were 6, 11, and 6 (7.7 average). Defensive touchdowns were 1 in 2023, none recorded in 2024, and 3 in 2025 (1.3 average).
Their bye falls in Week 9. If you do carry this unit on your roster, plan for a replacement that week.
No. The Titans DST does not have a market ADP — they are not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to generate one. There is no pick cost to weigh against the projection.