#237 overall · TEN · 84.6 projected half-PPR pts · -61.2 Draft Value
Tennessee Titans — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
There is not a strong affirmative case. The Tennessee Titans DST sits at DST29 with a draft value of -61.2, meaning the projection lands well below replacement level at the position. The three-year averages tell the story plainly: 39.7 sacks, 7.7 interceptions, 10 forced fumbles, and 435 points allowed per season. That points-allowed figure has climbed each year, from 367 in 2023 to 460 in 2024 to 478 in 2025. The sack total recovered somewhat in 2025 (42) after dipping to 32 in 2024, but the defensive scoring environment has moved in the wrong direction across the full window. If you are building a case, the 2025 touchdown total of 3 and the safety in each of the last two seasons show the unit can generate bonus-scoring plays. It is a thin case, but it exists.
What the model projects
The projection is 84.6 half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. The draft value is -61.2, placing the Titans DST at #237 overall and DST29. Tier 9 is the assignment. The bye week falls in Week 9. Those numbers, taken together, describe a unit the model places near the bottom of the position in fantasy value for this format.
| Sacks | INT | FF | FR | TD | Saf | PA | PA 1-6 | PA 7-13 | PA 14-20 | PA 21-27 | PA 28-34 | PA 35+ | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 45 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 1 | — | 367 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | — | 107.0 |
| 2024 | 32 | 11 | 10 | 6 | — | 1 | 460 | — | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 71.0 |
| 2025 | 42 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 478 | — | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 81.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 39.7 | 7.7 | 10 | 7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 435 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 88.3 |
The range of outcomes
The three-year history gives a reasonable frame for what this unit can produce. On the high end, 2023 stands out: 45 sacks, 6 interceptions, 13 forced fumbles, 8 fumbles recovered, 1 defensive touchdown, and only 367 points allowed. That is the version of this defense that generates meaningful fantasy weeks. On the low end, 2024 produced 32 sacks, 11 interceptions, 10 forced fumbles, 6 fumbles recovered, and 460 points allowed, with four games surrendering 35 or more points. The 2025 season landed closer to the 2024 defensive-scoring environment: 478 points allowed, four games of 35-plus points allowed, and five games in the 28-34 range. The interception total in 2024 (11) was the best of the three-year window, which shows the unit can create turnovers even in a down year. The range of realistic outcomes runs from a low-end streaming option to a near-unplayable liability, with the points-allowed trend pulling the floor lower.
How to draft him
Market ADP is unavailable, meaning this unit is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to register a median pick. That is consistent with a DST29 projection and a -61.2 draft value. In a standard 12-team snake draft, the Titans DST belongs, if anywhere, at the very end of the draft as a speculative final-round add. The Week 9 bye is a practical consideration: any manager who rostered this unit would need a streaming replacement for that week regardless. Given the position rank and draft value, the more straightforward approach is to target other options at the position and leave Tennessee on the wire.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection is 84.6 points with a draft value of -61.2, placing them at DST29 and #237 overall in Tier 9. That is well below replacement level at the position, and market ADP is unavailable, meaning the unit is not being consistently drafted. The numbers do not support spending a meaningful pick on them.
Points allowed have risen each year: 367 in 2023, 460 in 2024, and 478 in 2025. Sacks were 45 in 2023, dropped to 32 in 2024, and recovered to 42 in 2025. Interceptions were 6, 11, and 6 across those three seasons. The three-year averages are 39.7 sacks, 7.7 interceptions, 10 forced fumbles, and 435 points allowed per season.
Market ADP is unavailable, so there is no consistent draft-position signal. Given the DST29 rank and -61.2 draft value, if you pursue them at all, the only reasonable spot is a final-round speculative pick. They are more naturally a waiver-wire consideration than a drafted asset.
Their bye falls in Week 9. For any manager who rostered them, a streaming replacement would be required that week. Given the overall projection and position rank, the bye is a secondary concern; the primary issue is the unit's standing at DST29 with a negative draft value.
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Beyond the numbers
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