#278 overall · CHI · 42.7 projected half-PPR pts · -69.3 Draft Value
Sam Roush — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Sam Roush is a tight end on the Chicago Bears roster with a bye in Week 10. At TE45, he sits deep on the positional board, and the honest case for drafting him in a standard 12-team snake draft is thin. He belongs in Tier 9 — the bottom cluster of the board — and his draft value of -69.3 reflects a projection well below replacement level at the position. If you are building a deep bench late in a draft and need a Chicago tight end on your roster, Roush is the name attached to that slot. That is the extent of the case.
What the model projects
The projection for Roush is 42.7 half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. That places him #278 overall and at TE45 on the positional board. His draft value is -69.3, meaning the projection sits 69.3 points below the replacement-level baseline for tight ends in a 12-team half-PPR format. There is no ambiguity in these numbers — they describe a player the model does not expect to contribute meaningful fantasy production.
The range of outcomes
No simulated-season band data is available for Roush in the current FACTS set, so a formal percentile breakdown cannot be provided. What the headline numbers do communicate is that even the point estimate — 42.7 projected points — already sits far below replacement level. The structural position of a TE45 in Tier 9 implies a narrow ceiling and a floor that offers little fantasy utility across a full season.
How to draft him
Roush does not have a market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across public platforms to register one. In practical terms, that means he is available as a free agent or a final-round flier in virtually any draft format. His Week 10 bye with the Bears is worth noting for roster management purposes, but at #278 overall and TE45, he is a name to know rather than a name to spend a pick on in most leagues.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection of 42.7 points and a draft value of -69.3 place him at TE45 and #278 overall — well below replacement level. He is not a player the numbers support rostering in a standard 12-team format.
Roush has no market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to have one. He is effectively undrafted in public 2026 drafts.
He is in Tier 9, the bottom cluster of the overall board. Tier 9 represents the lowest band of projected value across all positions, and his placement there is consistent with his #278 overall rank and TE45 position rank.
Chicago's bye is Week 10. Given that Roush projects at 42.7 points for the season and carries a draft value of -69.3, the bye week is a secondary concern — his overall fantasy utility is the primary issue.