New York Jets — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

The Jets have a three-year average of 38 sacks, 8 interceptions, 12.3 forced fumbles, and 8 fumbles recovered per season. The 2023 version of this unit was genuinely productive: 46 sacks, 17 interceptions, 14 forced fumbles, and only 355 points allowed. That season is the ceiling argument. If the pass rush finds any consistency and the turnover rate climbs back toward that 2023 level, the raw ingredients for a serviceable streaming defense are present.

What the model projects

The projection is 94.1 half-PPR fantasy points. The draft value is -51.7, which places the Jets at DST28 and #216 overall, in Tier 9. Those numbers reflect a unit that projects below replacement level at the position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The bye is Week 13, which is a late-season consideration for any manager who carries this defense into the playoff stretch.

The range of outcomes

The three-year trend tells the story of the variance here. Points allowed climbed from 355 in 2023 to 404 in 2024 to 503 in 2025. Sacks dropped from 46 to 42 to 26 over that same span. Interceptions fell from 17 to 7, and the 2025 season produced no interception total in the FACTS at all. Fumbles recovered dropped from 10 in each of the first two seasons to 4 in 2025. The high end of outcomes looks like 2023: a pass rush that generates sacks in the mid-40s and a secondary that creates turnovers. The low end looks like 2025: a defense allowing 503 points, recording 26 sacks, and recovering only 4 fumbles. The gap between those two seasons is wide, and the most recent data sits at the bottom of that range.

How to draft him

The Jets are not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. That means there is no pick cost to plan around. At DST28 and #216 overall with a negative draft value, this is a late-roster or waiver-wire consideration at best. If a manager wants to take a flier on a potential bounce-back from the 2025 collapse, the position rank and overall rank make clear this is a depth move, not a foundational one. The Week 13 bye is worth noting for any manager who plans to stream defenses deep into the season.

The model projects 94.1 points and a draft value of -51.7, placing them at DST28 and #216 overall in Tier 9. That is below replacement level at the position, so the ranking does not support treating them as a drafted starter.

Over the last three seasons they averaged 38 sacks, 8 interceptions, 12.3 forced fumbles, and 8 fumbles recovered per year. However, the trend has moved in the wrong direction: sacks fell from 46 in 2023 to 26 in 2025, interceptions dropped from 17 to 7, and points allowed rose from 355 to 503 over that same window.

There is no market ADP available, meaning the Jets are not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce one. They are effectively a free agent or late-add option rather than a pick you need to budget for.

Their bye is Week 13. For managers who stream defenses, that is a late-season week to plan around, particularly if the Jets are your primary option heading into the fantasy playoff stretch.