#265 overall · TEN · 58.3 projected half-PPR pts · -70.4 Draft Value
Chimere Dike — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Chimere Dike put up every receiving yard, reception, target, and touchdown in his three-year aggregate during the 2025 season alone. That means 423 receiving yards, 48 receptions on 74 targets, and 4 receiving touchdowns represent his entire NFL production to date, all concentrated in one year. For a late-roster flier, that is a real season of work. The target volume is modest but real, and the four scores show he found the end zone at a meaningful rate relative to his usage. If you are building out the back end of a roster and need a Tennessee receiver with a documented role, Dike is the name the numbers point to.
What the model projects
The projection is 58.3 half-PPR fantasy points for 2026. That sits at WR90 and #265 overall, placing Dike in Tier 9. His draft value is -70.4, which is below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The projection reflects a player operating at the outer edge of viable fantasy relevance. Tennessee's bye is Week 9.
| Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush yds | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 74 | 48 | 423 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 92.1 |
| 3-yr avg | 74 | 48 | 423 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 92.1 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide and skewed. The median outcome (p50) is 39.8 points, which is notably lower than the 58.3 point projection, signaling that the upside tail pulls the point estimate up. In a bad season, the bottom 10 percent of simulated outcomes land at 3.4 points (p10), and the 25th percentile is 17.6 points (p25). The upside is real but requires things to break right: the 75th percentile is 73.4 points and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons reach 117.6 points (p90). The gap between the p10 and p90 is over 114 points, which is a very wide band for a player at this projection level. Most seasons end quietly; a handful end with genuine fantasy utility.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Dike does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being selected consistently enough to register a median draft position. In a snake draft, that translates to a player available off the waiver wire or as a late undrafted add rather than a pick you need to plan around. If you want him on your roster, the path is the waiver wire, not a draft-day allocation. Roster him as a speculative depth piece with the understanding that his floor, per the simulated band, is near zero.
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Questions drafters ask
He caught 48 passes on 74 targets for 423 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns. He also carried the ball 11 times for 18 rushing yards. Those numbers represent his entire NFL statistical history across three seasons.
The projection is 58.3 half-PPR fantasy points. He ranks WR90 and #265 overall with a draft value of -70.4, placing him in Tier 9.
The band runs from 3.4 points at the 10th percentile to 117.6 points at the 90th percentile. The median simulated season is 39.8 points. Genuine fantasy utility requires a top-quartile outcome, which the band puts at 73.4 points or better.
He has no market ADP across public 2026 drafts, meaning he is not being selected consistently enough to register a median draft position. He is a waiver-wire or undrafted target, not a pick you need to budget for on draft day.
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Beyond the numbers
The same names cash in your league every year
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