#195 overall · IND · 124.5 projected half-PPR pts · -44.3 Draft Value · Market ADP 423.4
Blake Grupe — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Blake Grupe has been one of the more active kickers in the league over the past three seasons. His three-year averages tell the story plainly: 35 field goal attempts, 28.7 makes, and 32 extra points per season. In 2023 he attempted 37 field goals and connected on 30, including 6 from 50-plus yards and 8 from 40-49. In 2024 he tightened his accuracy, missing only 3 of 31 attempts. In 2025 he attempted 37 again, making 29, with 7 from 50-plus. The volume is consistent, the long-range work is real, and the opportunity has been there every year.
What the model projects
The projection for Grupe is 124.5 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value is -44.3, placing him #195 overall and K10 at his position. He sits in Tier 9. His bye week is Week 13. The projection reflects a kicker who has averaged 35 attempts per season over three years, with a consistent mix of short, mid-range, and long kicks.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 30 | 7 | 40 | 143.0 |
| 2024 | 27 | 3 | 31 | 128.0 |
| 2025 | 29 | 8 | 25 | 121.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 28.7 | 6 | 32 | 26.0 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide, as it is for any kicker. In a bottom-10% season, Grupe finishes at 64.3 points. The 25th percentile is 99.2. The median simulated season lands at 125.5 points, close to the 124.5 point estimate. A 75th-percentile season produces 146.1 points, and a top-10% season reaches 155.7. The gap between the floor and ceiling is substantial: a bad season is roughly half the output of a great one. That variance is the nature of the position, and Grupe's three-year history of 35-plus attempts per season is the best argument that the upside end of that band is reachable.
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our projection
How to draft him
The market is drafting Grupe at pick 423.4 on average, which works out to round 36, pick 3 in a 12-team draft. That is deep in the late rounds of any extended draft format. His overall rank is #195 and his position rank is K10. In most standard-length snake drafts, kickers come off the board in the final round or two; plan accordingly and know that securing him will require a late-round commitment. His Week 13 bye is worth noting for playoff scheduling purposes.
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Questions drafters ask
Very consistent. He has averaged 35 field goal attempts per season over the past three years (2023-2025), with individual season totals of 37, 31, and 37 attempts. His three-year average of 28.7 makes per season reflects steady production.
His accuracy has varied. In 2023 he missed 7 of 37 attempts. In 2024 he missed only 3 of 31. In 2025 he missed 8 of 37. His three-year average is 6 misses per season across 35 attempts.
The projection is 124.5 half-PPR points. The simulated season band runs from 64.3 points at the 10th percentile to 155.7 at the 90th percentile, with a median of 125.5. The floor is roughly 40% below the ceiling, which reflects the inherent variance of the kicker position.
The market average draft position is 423.4, which translates to round 36, pick 3 in a 12-team draft. He is a very late-round target in any extended format. His position rank is K10 and his overall rank is #195.
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Beyond the numbers
The same names cash in your league every year
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