Harrison Butker — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Harrison Butker plays for one of the most prolific offenses in the NFL, and that matters at the kicker position. His three-year averages tell the story plainly: 29 made field goals, 32.7 extra points, and 34.7 extra point attempts per season. In 2023 he connected on 33 of 35 field goal attempts, including 5 from 50-plus yards, and converted all 38 extra point attempts. He followed that with another 33 makes on 38 attempts in 2025, adding 5 more from 50-plus. The volume is real, and the long-range work is consistent across the sample. For a drafter who wants a kicker attached to a high-scoring offense, the underlying opportunity here is well-documented.

What the model projects

The projection is 116.3 half-PPR fantasy points. That places Butker at K14 and #221 overall, landing in Tier 9. His draft value is -52.9, meaning the projection sits below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The point estimate of 116.3 sits close to the median simulated season of 113.1, so the projection and the typical outcome are roughly aligned. His bye week is Week 5.

The range of outcomes

The simulated season band is wide. At the bottom 10 percent of outcomes, the season finishes at 36.3 points. The 25th percentile is 82.0 points. The median sits at 113.1, the 75th percentile at 139.4, and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons reaches 152.1 points. That is a significant spread from floor to ceiling, reflecting the inherent variance in kicker scoring. The 2024 season illustrates the downside: 21 made field goals on 25 attempts, 4 misses, and only 29 converted extra points. The 2023 and 2025 seasons illustrate the upside: 33 makes in each, with strong long-range production. The three-year average of 3.7 missed field goals per season is a number worth keeping in mind when sizing the floor.

How to draft him

The market is drafting Butker at an average pick of 173.6, which works out to round 15, pick 6 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. Our rankings place him at #221 overall and K14. In most snake drafts, kickers are taken in the final rounds, and that is where this pick lives. If you want Butker specifically, round 15 is when you would need to spend the pick. His Week 5 bye is early enough that it should not disrupt most playoff runs, but it is worth noting when setting your roster calendar.

Over the 2023-2025 seasons, he averaged 29 made field goals and 32.7 field goal attempts per year, with an average of 3.7 misses. His best single-season mark was 33 makes on 35 attempts in 2023; his lightest was 21 makes on 25 attempts in 2024. He has hit at least 2 field goals from 50-plus yards in each of the three seasons, with a high of 5 in both 2023 and 2025.

He is K14 by position rank and #221 overall, placed in Tier 9. His draft value is -52.9, which is below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format.

The 10th-percentile simulated outcome is 36.3 fantasy points. His 2024 season, when he made 21 of 25 field goal attempts and converted 29 of 31 extra point attempts, gives a concrete historical reference for what a down year looks like in terms of raw production.

The market average is pick 173.6, which translates to round 15, pick 6 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. That is a late-round commitment, consistent with where kickers typically come off in snake drafts.