Makai Lemon — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Makai Lemon plays for a Philadelphia Eagles offense that keeps fantasy managers interested in its pass-catchers. He lands at WR49 in a Tier 9 grouping, which tells you exactly where the ceiling sits right now: he is a depth option, not a featured piece. The case for rostering him is simple. At this stage of a snake draft, you are not hunting for certainty; you are hunting for upside at a low cost. Lemon's p90 outcome of 188.4 half-PPR points is a number worth noting for a player available this late. If the role expands, the points are there to be scored.

What the model projects

The projection is 115.2 half-PPR fantasy points. That sits just above the median simulated season of 109.9 points, which means the point estimate and the typical outcome are close to aligned. The draft value is -13.5, placing Lemon below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a 12-team half-PPR format. He ranks #112 overall. Those numbers are honest: this is a player the model sees as a below-replacement-level contributor at his position in the current projection.

The range of outcomes

The outcome band is wide. At the low end, the p10 is 41.6 points, a season where he contributes almost nothing to a fantasy roster. The p25 sits at 72.1 points, still a thin return. The median is 109.9 points. Move to the optimistic side and the p75 reaches 145.2 points, with the p90 at 188.4 points. That spread from 41.6 to 188.4 is substantial, and it reflects genuine uncertainty about how much of the offense runs through him in any given season. Drafters who take him late are buying a ticket on the upper end of that band.

How to draft him

The market is taking Lemon at pick 99.1 on average, which works out to the 9th round, 3rd pick in a 12-team draft. That is the window you are working with. His bye is Week 10, so factor that into your roster construction if you pick him up. Given his draftValue of -13.5 and his position at WR49, he fits best as a late-round stash rather than a meaningful starter. If you are building depth at receiver and reach this point in the draft without a satisfactory fourth or fifth wideout, Lemon is a name to have on your radar. The projection is modest, but the p90 outcome gives him a reason to occupy a late roster spot.

The market ADP is 99.1, which translates to the 9th round, 3rd pick in a 12-team draft. That is the average price other drafters are currently paying across the platforms that feed this median.

The p90 outcome from the simulated season band is 188.4 half-PPR points. That is the top-10-percent result. The p75 is 145.2 points, so a good-but-not-great season still lands in that range.

Below. His draft value is -13.5, which means the projection of 115.2 points falls short of the replacement-level baseline at wide receiver in a 12-team half-PPR format. He ranks WR49 and #112 overall.

The p10 outcome is 41.6 half-PPR points, meaning 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at or below that total. The p25 is 72.1 points. The downside is real, and drafters should treat him as a depth piece rather than a reliable starter.