#117 overall · NYJ · 103.8 projected half-PPR pts · -16.8 Draft Value · Market ADP 175.3
Kenyon Sadiq — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Kenyon Sadiq is a tight end on the New York Jets roster with a projection north of 100 half-PPR points. For a position where reliable production is scarce deep into the rankings, a three-digit projection at TE12 is a number worth noting. His bye falls in Week 13, late enough that it rarely disrupts a playoff push. If you are building a roster that needs a late-round tight end with a credible floor, Sadiq is a name to keep on your radar.
What the model projects
The projection is 103.8 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value is -16.8, placing him #117 overall and TE12 in Tier 9. A negative draft value means the projection sits below replacement level at the tight end position in a 12-team half-PPR format. That context matters: the number is not zero, but it does not clear the bar the format sets for a starting-caliber tight end.
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide. At the pessimistic end, 10 percent of simulated seasons finished at or below 48.6 points, and the 25th percentile sits at 78.9. The median simulated season lands at 114.3 points, a few ticks above the point estimate of 103.8. The optimistic side of the band is meaningful: the 75th percentile reaches 136.8 and the 90th percentile climbs to 164.2. That upper tail is the reason a drafter might take a flier. The downside, however, is real, and the gap between the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes is substantial.
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our projection
How to draft him
Market ADP is 175.3, which works out to pick 15.07 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. That is a 15th-round pick in a standard snake draft. At that stage of the draft, roster spots are cheap and the cost of a miss is low. If you have already secured your primary tight end and want a speculative second option, this is the range where Sadiq becomes a realistic target. Do not reach earlier than the market is paying; let the draft come to him.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection is 103.8 half-PPR fantasy points, with a median simulated season of 114.3 points.
He is TE12 by draft value in a 12-team half-PPR format, ranked #117 overall, and sits in Tier 9.
His draft value is -16.8, meaning his projection falls below the replacement-level baseline for tight ends in a 12-team half-PPR league. He projects as a below-replacement option at the position.
Market ADP is 175.3, which translates to pick 15.07 in a 12-team snake draft. That is a late 15th-round pick, based on a median across two platforms.
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Beyond the numbers
The same names cash in your league every year
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