Jeremiyah Love — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Jeremiyah Love lands in Arizona with a positive draft value and a clear path to touches in an offense that needs a backfield identity. At RB17 with a draftValue of +25.3, he projects above replacement level — that surplus is real, not cosmetic. His bye falls on Week 14, deep enough into the season that it won't cost a drafter much during the stretch run. The case is straightforward: a young back in a system that will need to hand the ball to someone, and the projection says that someone contributes.

What the model projects

The model projects Love at 142.2 half-PPR fantasy points this season, good for #42 overall and RB17. His draftValue of +25.3 places him in Tier 6 on the full board — a group of players whose projected surplus over replacement is real but sits a step below the elite tiers. The point estimate of 142.2 is the headline number: that is what a typical season looks like on paper before variance is applied.

The range of outcomes

Love's simulated season band tells a story of meaningful variance. The p50 — the median simulated season — anchors the range, while the p10 captures a bad-outcome floor and the p90 captures a breakout ceiling. That spread is the honest picture of what drafting a young running back in a new situation looks like: the upside is real, the downside is real, and the median is what you're actually buying. Drafters should size their expectations around the p50, not the p90.

How to draft him

Market ADP has Love going at pick 23.6 — that is 2.12 in a 12-team snake draft, drawn from two independent platforms. That means if you want him, you are spending a second-round pick. Our rank has him at #42 overall. Know that going in: the market is pricing him earlier than our value-over-replacement ordering places him. Plan your board accordingly, and if you want Love on your roster, be ready to pull the trigger in the second round before he's gone.

Based on a market ADP of 23.6 (aggregated across two platforms), Love is going at pick 2.12 in a 12-team snake draft — so you need to be prepared to spend a second-round selection to land him.

He projects as RB17 by draft value, sitting at #42 overall on the full board in Tier 6.

Above. His draftValue is +25.3, meaning he projects 25.3 half-PPR points above the replacement-level running back in a 12-team half-PPR baseline.

Love's bye is Week 14. That falls late in the season, so it has minimal impact on the regular-season stretch and only becomes a factor if your league's fantasy playoffs begin that week — worth checking your league settings before drafting.