#134 overall · HOU · 102.7 projected half-PPR pts · -19.8 Draft Value · Market ADP 126.5
Jayden Higgins — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Jayden Higgins posted 525 receiving yards, 41 receptions on 68 targets, and 6 receiving touchdowns in 2025 — a rookie season that established him as a legitimate contributor in Houston's passing game. Six scores on 68 targets is a touchdown rate that commands attention, and the volume was real: 68 targets in a single season is a meaningful workload for a first-year receiver. He enters 2026 with that production already on his ledger and a full offseason of experience in the system.
What the model projects
The projection is 102.7 half-PPR fantasy points. Higgins ranks #134 overall and WR55 by draft value. His draft value sits at -19.8, meaning the projection places him below replacement level at the wide receiver position on a 12-team half-PPR baseline. He is a Tier 9 player on the overall board.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 41 | 525 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 109.0 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 68 | 41 | 525 | 6 | — | — | 109.0 |
The range of outcomes
No band data is available for Higgins in these facts, so the full percentile spread cannot be reported. What is known: the point estimate is 102.7 half-PPR points, and the position rank of WR55 reflects a projection that currently sits below the replacement threshold. The 2025 touchdown total of 6 is the most volatile component of his profile — touchdown production at that rate can inflate or deflate a season's fantasy value significantly from year to year.
How to draft him
Market ADP for Higgins is 126.5, which works out to pick 11.06 in a 12-team snake draft — that figure is drawn from two platforms, so treat it as a directional read rather than a settled consensus. Our rank is #134 overall. If you want Higgins, Round 11 is roughly when you would need to spend a pick to get him. His bye is Week 8.
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Questions drafters ask
He caught 41 passes on 68 targets for 525 receiving yards and 6 receiving touchdowns. That is his complete NFL receiving history — the 3-year aggregate matches the 2025 line exactly, confirming 2025 was his first active season.
He projects at 102.7 half-PPR fantasy points, ranks #134 overall, and comes in at WR55 by position rank. His draft value is -19.8, placing him below replacement level at wide receiver on a 12-team half-PPR baseline.
Market ADP is 126.5 — approximately pick 11.06 in a 12-team draft. That number comes from two platforms, so it is a limited sample. Plan to spend a pick in Round 11 if you want him on your roster.
He scored 6 receiving touchdowns on 68 targets in 2025. That is a strong rate, but touchdown totals are among the most variable stats from season to season. The 102.7-point projection reflects where the model lands given that history.