#296 overall · WAS · 89.5 projected half-PPR pts · -79.8 Draft Value
Jake Moody — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Jake Moody has three seasons of NFL kicking work on record. Over that span he averaged 21.3 field goals and 35.7 extra points per year, connecting on 21 of 23 attempts in 2025 for a two-miss season. His 2023 debut showed range: 15 makes inside 40 yards, four from 40-49, and two from 50-plus on 25 attempts. The 2025 line is the cleanest accuracy mark of the three years, with a 19-of-23 clip and only two misses. Now with Washington, he carries that track record into a new situation. K30 is a deep position rank, but the underlying accuracy trend over the most recent season is the most compelling data point in his file.
What the model projects
The projection is 89.5 half-PPR fantasy points. The median simulated season lands at 88.1 points, close to that figure. The draft value is -79.8, placing Moody at K30 and #296 overall in Tier 9. Those numbers reflect where kickers sit in a value-over-replacement framework: even a productive season at the position generates limited surplus over what is freely available.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | 4 | 60 | 127.0 |
| 2024 | 24 | 10 | 32 | 108.0 |
| 2025 | 19 | 2 | 15 | 79.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 21.3 | 5.3 | 35.7 | 30.4 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide. The bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons produces just 5.8 points, and the 25th percentile sits at 34.1. The median is 88.1, the 75th percentile reaches 122.5, and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons finishes at 144.6 points. That is a spread of roughly 139 points from the 10th to the 90th percentile, which is a significant range for any position. The upside scenario, 144.6 points, requires a high-volume, high-accuracy season. The downside scenario, 5.8 points, reflects a season that ends very early or produces almost no opportunity. Most realistic outcomes cluster around the median.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Moody has no market ADP available, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across public platforms to register a median pick. In a standard 12-team snake draft, kickers are typically taken in the final rounds as roster-fillers. His #296 overall rank and K30 position rank confirm he sits at the back of the position in this model's value ordering. Draft him only after every other positional need is addressed, and only if the specific roster construction calls for a kicker at all in your league's format.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
He made 21 of 25 attempts in 2023, 24 of 34 in 2024, and 19 of 23 in 2025. The three-year average is 21.3 makes on 27.3 attempts per season, with an average of 5.3 misses per year.
The projection is 89.5 half-PPR points. The band runs from 5.8 points at the 10th percentile to 144.6 at the 90th percentile, with a median simulated season of 88.1 points.
He is K30 and #296 overall in Tier 9, with a draft value of -79.8. That negative figure means the projection sits below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format.
He has no market ADP, so he is not being consistently drafted in public leagues. His K30 and #296 overall rank place him at the back of the position. He is a late-draft or undrafted option, taken only after all other roster needs are filled.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the numbers
The same names cash in your league every year
That isn't luck. Those managers have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written. Paste it in a couple of minutes and RotoAlpha writes the book on every rival: who reaches, who chases runs, who overpays. The rival report is free.
Get the book on your rivals →