#115 overall · DET · 116.3 projected half-PPR pts · -13.6 Draft Value
Jake Bates — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Jake Bates operates in one of the NFL's most productive offenses, and his 2024 and 2025 stat lines reflect that volume. In 2024 he attempted 67 extra points and 29 field goals, converting 64 and 26 respectively. In 2025 he attempted 56 extra points and 34 field goals, converting 54 and 27. Across the three-year aggregate window (2023–2025), he averaged 26.5 made field goals and 59 made extra points per season on 31.5 field goal attempts and 61.5 extra point attempts — with only 4 missed field goals over that entire span. That accuracy profile, paired with consistent Detroit offensive volume, is the foundation of his fantasy case.
What the model projects
The projection for Bates is 116.3 half-PPR fantasy points in 2026. His draft value is -13.6, meaning he projects below replacement level at the kicker position. He ranks K5 at his position and #115 overall. He sits in Tier 9 on the board. Detroit's bye week falls in Week 6.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | — | 64 | 142.0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | — | 54 | 135.0 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26.5 | 4 | 59 | 134.5 |
The range of outcomes
Kicker scoring variance is driven by offensive opportunity and accuracy, and Bates has shown stability in both. His three-year average of just 4 missed field goals over the aggregate window points to a floor built on reliability. The 2025 season saw a slight dip in extra point attempts (56 vs. 67 in 2024) while field goal attempts ticked up to 34 — the highest of the two recorded seasons. That mix of volume and accuracy shapes a relatively tight outcome band for a kicker, though game-script and offensive performance will always introduce season-to-season movement in the final point total.
How to draft him
Bates is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, so there is no public draft-slot data to reference. At K5 and #115 overall with a -13.6 draft value, he projects below replacement level — the standard case for waiting on kickers in snake drafts. Detroit's Week 6 bye is worth noting for roster management purposes. Draft him in the final rounds when kicker slots need to be filled, and treat the volume history as a tiebreaker if you're choosing between options at the position.
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Questions drafters ask
Across the 2023–2025 aggregate window, Bates missed only 4 field goals on 31.5 attempts per season, averaging 26.5 makes — a strong accuracy rate sustained over multiple years.
The projection is 116.3 half-PPR fantasy points. He ranks K5 at his position and #115 overall, with a draft value of -13.6, placing him below replacement level at kicker.
He has no market ADP — he isn't being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce one. Given his #115 overall rank and negative draft value, the standard approach is to wait until the final rounds before filling a kicker slot.
In 2024 he had 29 field goal attempts and 67 extra point attempts. In 2025 those numbers shifted to 34 field goal attempts and 56 extra point attempts, with 27 and 54 makes respectively — consistent volume across both seasons.