#159 overall · CHI · 90.2 projected half-PPR pts · -26.7 Draft Value · Market ADP 88.5
Kyle Monangai — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Kyle Monangai's 2025 season is the entirety of his NFL statistical record — 169 rush attempts, 783 rush yards, and 5 rushing touchdowns, with 30 targets, 18 receptions, and 164 receiving yards. Every carry and every catch he has in the league came in that one season. For a drafter building a late-round depth chart, that is a real NFL workload to evaluate, not a projection built on air. He is on Chicago's roster with a bye in Week 10, giving him a manageable schedule to work around. The question is whether that 2025 workload translates into a role worth rostering in 2026.
What the model projects
The projection for Monangai is 90.2 half-PPR fantasy points in 2026. His Draft Value sits at -26.7, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the running back position. He ranks RB39 at his position and #159 overall. He is a Tier 9 player on the board.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 783 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 164 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133.7 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 169 | 783 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 164 | — | — | — | 133.7 |
The range of outcomes
No simulation band data is available for Monangai in these facts, so the full percentile spread cannot be reported here. What is known: the point estimate of 90.2 half-PPR points reflects a modest role, and the negative Draft Value of -26.7 signals that the projection sits below what a freely available replacement-level back is expected to provide. The upside case rests on his 2025 usage — 169 carries and 30 targets is a legitimate touch share — but the projection does not currently reward that history with above-replacement output.
How to draft him
Market ADP for Monangai is 88.5, which works out to pick 8.05 in a 12-team snake draft — that figure is drawn from two platforms, so treat it as a directional signal rather than a settled consensus. If you want him, that is roughly when you would need to spend a pick. His model rank is #159 overall and RB39. A drafter targeting late-round running back depth should weigh whether his 2025 touch volume justifies that eighth-round commitment given a projection that currently sits below replacement level.
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Questions drafters ask
He carried the ball 169 times for 783 rush yards and 5 rushing touchdowns. He also caught 18 of 30 targets for 164 receiving yards and no receiving touchdowns. That is the full extent of his NFL statistical record across the three-year window tracked.
The projection is 90.2 half-PPR fantasy points. His Draft Value is -26.7, placing him below replacement level at the running back position. He ranks RB39 and #159 overall in Tier 9.
His market ADP is 88.5 — pick 8.05 in a 12-team draft — based on data from two platforms. That is the approximate draft slot where he is currently being taken.
In 2025 he saw 30 targets and caught 18 passes for 164 yards with no receiving touchdowns. That is a modest but real receiving role. The 90.2-point projection and -26.7 Draft Value already reflect that contribution.