Atlanta Falcons — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

The Atlanta Falcons DST posted its best sack total of the three-year window in 2025, recording 57 sacks after 42 in 2023 and 31 in 2024. The three-year average sits at 43.3 sacks per season, a respectable pass-rush foundation. Interceptions climbed steadily across the same span: 8 in 2023, 12 in 2024, 16 in 2025, for a three-year average of 12 per season. Fumbles recovered have been consistent at 7.0 per season on average. The unit has also produced at least one safety in each of the last three seasons. If the sack and interception trends hold, the counting-stat floor is real.

What the model projects

The projection is 114.3 half-PPR fantasy points. The draft value is -31.5, meaning the unit projects below replacement level at the DST position in a 12-team half-PPR format. That places the Falcons DST at DST19 and #156 overall, sitting in Tier 9.

The range of outcomes

The three-year history illustrates how wide DST variance can run. Points allowed ranged from a low of 373 in 2023 to a high of 423 in 2024, with 2025 landing at 401. In 2025, the unit held opponents to 13 points or fewer in just 2 games, while surrendering 28 or more in 6 games. In 2023, by contrast, the unit held opponents to 13 or fewer in 9 games. That swing in game-by-game scoring suppression is the primary driver of DST volatility, and Atlanta's recent history shows it can cut either way. Touchdown production has been modest, averaging 1.7 per season over three years.

How to draft him

The Falcons DST carries a negative draft value at DST19 and #156 overall, which puts it squarely in the late-round DST tier most drafters treat as a streaming option. No market ADP is available for this unit, meaning it is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to register a median pick. In practice, that makes Atlanta a potential waiver-wire or final-round consideration rather than a pick you need to plan around. Their bye falls in Week 11, worth noting when setting your DST schedule. The sack and interception trends from 2025 are the most optimistic data points here; the points-allowed profile and below-replacement projection are the counterweight.

The projection of 114.3 points and a draft value of -31.5 place the unit at DST19 and #156 overall in Tier 9, below replacement level. The 2025 sack (57) and interception (16) totals are the strongest counting-stat case for the unit, but the points-allowed profile and overall rank make it a late-round or streaming option rather than a planned starter.

Sacks went 42, 31, then 57 across 2023 through 2025, for a three-year average of 43.3. Interceptions rose each year: 8, 12, and 16, averaging 12 per season. Points allowed were 373, 423, and 401, averaging 399. Fumbles recovered averaged 7.0 per season.

The Falcons are on bye in Week 11. For any drafter who does roster this unit, a streaming replacement will be needed that week.

In 2023 the unit held opponents to 13 points or fewer in 9 games. That number dropped sharply in 2024 and 2025, with only 2 such games in 2025. In 2025, the unit allowed 28 or more points in 6 games, compared to 5 in 2023. The game-by-game scoring suppression profile has weakened over the three-year window.