#137 overall · ATL · 108.9 projected half-PPR pts · -20.1 Draft Value
Atlanta Falcons — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
The Atlanta Falcons DST has shown genuine playmaking ability over the past three seasons. In 2025 they posted 57 sacks and 16 interceptions — the strongest single-season marks in either category across the three-year window. The three-year averages tell a consistent story: 43.3 sacks, 12 interceptions, 14.3 forced fumbles, and 7 fumbles recovered per season. Touchdowns have been modest at 1.7 per year, but the turnover and pressure numbers reflect a unit that can generate fantasy-relevant events on a weekly basis.
What the model projects
The projection is 108.9 half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. The draft value sits at -20.1, meaning the unit projects below replacement level at the DST position on a 12-team half-PPR baseline. Atlanta ranks DST17 and #137 overall, placing them in Tier 9 on the board. Their bye week is Week 11.
| INT | Sacks | FF | FR | TD | Saf | PA | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 8 | 42 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 373 | 101.0 |
| 2024 | 12 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 423 | 99.0 |
| 2025 | 16 | 57 | 12 | 7 | 1 | — | 401 | 121.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 12 | 43.3 | 14.3 | 7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 399 | 107.2 |
The range of outcomes
No simulation band data is available for this unit in the current FACTS set, so the projection of 108.9 points stands as the single headline estimate. The three-year historical record does show meaningful variance: sacks ranged from 31 in 2024 to 57 in 2025, interceptions from 8 in 2023 to 16 in 2025, and points allowed ranged from 373 to 423. That spread in the underlying stats suggests the realized fantasy total in any given season can move meaningfully in either direction from the point estimate.
How to draft him
Atlanta is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, so there is no draft-slot data to report. At DST17 and #137 overall with a negative draft value, this is a unit best considered only in the final rounds of a draft if a drafter needs DST depth or is targeting a specific matchup-based streaming approach. The Week 11 bye is worth noting when building a roster.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection is 108.9 half-PPR fantasy points. That places them at DST17 and #137 overall in Tier 9, with a draft value of -20.1 — below replacement level at the DST position on a 12-team half-PPR baseline.
Over the 2023–2025 window, Atlanta averaged 43.3 sacks, 12 interceptions, 14.3 forced fumbles, 7 fumbles recovered, 1.7 touchdowns, and 399 points allowed per season. Their best pass-rush season was 2025 (57 sacks) and their best interception season was also 2025 (16).
Atlanta does not have a market ADP — they are not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce one. Given their DST17 ranking and negative draft value, they are a late-round consideration at best, and their Week 11 bye should factor into roster planning.
It has varied considerably. Sacks were 42 in 2023, dropped to 31 in 2024, then jumped to 57 in 2025. The three-year average is 43.3, but the year-to-year swing is wide enough that any single season could land well above or below that figure.