#283 overall · DET · 52.9 projected half-PPR pts · -69.6 Draft Value
Greg Dortch — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Greg Dortch is a WR on the Detroit Lions with a three-year track record of consistent, if modest, production. Over the 2023–2025 seasons he averaged 41.3 targets, 30 receptions, 276 receiving yards, and 2.7 receiving touchdowns per year. His catch rate has been strong — 37 receptions on 50 targets in 2024, and 29 on 33 in 2025 — suggesting he converts opportunities efficiently when they come his way. He has also added a small rushing dimension, averaging 4.3 rush attempts and 17 rush yards per season over that span, with a rush touchdown in 2025. For a drafter looking for a late-roster flier on a productive offense, Dortch's consistent role and reliable hands are the foundation of any case for him.
What the model projects
The projection for Dortch in 2026 is 52.9 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value is -69.6, meaning he projects below replacement level at the wide receiver position. He ranks WR91 at his position and #283 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board. Detroit's bye week falls in Week 6.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 41 | 24 | 280 | 2 | — | 0 | 0 | 52.5 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 50 | 37 | 342 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 71.8 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 33 | 29 | 206 | 3 | — | 0 | 0 | 60.6 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 4.3 | 17 | 0.3 | 41.3 | 30 | 276 | 2.7 | 0.7 | — | — | 62.3 |
The range of outcomes
Dortch's recent season-by-season totals illustrate the variance in his role. Receiving yards have ranged from 206 (2025) to 342 (2024), and receiving touchdowns have held steady at 2–3 across all three seasons. Targets have ranged from 33 to 50. The three-year averages — 41.3 targets, 276 receiving yards, 2.7 receiving touchdowns — represent a reasonable central tendency, but any single season can land meaningfully above or below that line depending on how his target share moves. The 2025 season showed the floor: 33 targets, 206 yards, though he still contributed 3 receiving touchdowns and a rush score. The 2024 season showed the ceiling within recent history: 50 targets, 342 yards, 3 receiving touchdowns.
How to draft him
Dortch is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. That means there is no pick cost to plan around — he is effectively a free agent on draft day and can be targeted on the waiver wire or as a final-round dart if roster spots allow. At WR91 and #283 overall in Tier 9, he projects as a depth piece rather than a starter, and his -69.6 draft value reflects that. He is a name to know for the Lions' offense, not a player to spend meaningful draft capital on.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
He averaged 41.3 targets per season from 2023 to 2025, with individual season totals of 41 (2023), 50 (2024), and 33 (2025).
He ranks WR91 at his position and #283 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -69.6, which is below replacement level at wide receiver.
Dortch has scored 2–3 receiving touchdowns in each of the past three seasons (2 in 2023, 3 in 2024, 3 in 2025), averaging 2.7 per year. He also added a rush touchdown in 2025.
He does not have a market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce one. He is available as a waiver-wire or final-roster addition rather than a pick you need to plan around.