#200 overall · CLE · 82.6 projected half-PPR pts · -46.3 Draft Value · Market ADP 148.4
Denzel Boston — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Denzel Boston is a wide receiver on Cleveland's roster, and in deep leagues or large-roster formats every viable starting option matters. His projection of 82.6 half-PPR points gives him a floor to work with, and the upside band shows that a strong season is at least possible: the top 10% of simulated outcomes land at 152.5 points. If you are filling out the back end of a roster and need a Cleveland pass-catcher with some ceiling, Boston is a name to know.
What the model projects
The projection is 82.6 half-PPR fantasy points. Boston sits at #200 overall and WR75, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -46.3, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The median simulated season comes in at 62.8 points, which is below the point estimate of 82.6; the two numbers differ, and both are reported here honestly. His bye week is Week 11.
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide. At the pessimistic end, 10% of simulated seasons finish at or below 12.6 points, and the 25th percentile sits at 31.9. The median simulated season is 62.8 points. Moving up the band, the 75th percentile reaches 99.4 points and the 90th percentile climbs to 152.5. That is a significant spread from floor to ceiling, reflecting meaningful season-to-season variance in what Boston could deliver. The difference between a bad season and a good one here is not trivial.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Market ADP for Boston is 148.4, which works out to pick 13.04 in a 12-team snake draft, based on a median across two platforms. That is the pick you would need to spend to secure him. Given his position at #200 overall and WR75 in the rankings, he is a late-draft or waiver-wire consideration in most standard 12-team leagues. In deeper leagues where roster spots demand more coverage at receiver, he becomes a more relevant late-round target. Plan accordingly if you want him on your roster.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection is 82.6 half-PPR fantasy points. The median simulated season is 62.8 points, so the two numbers differ; both are worth knowing when setting expectations.
He is WR75 by draft value in 12-team half-PPR, sitting at #200 overall in Tier 9. His draft value of -46.3 places him below replacement level at the position.
The 90th-percentile simulated outcome is 152.5 half-PPR points, meaning roughly 1 in 10 simulated seasons reaches that level or higher. The 75th percentile is 99.4 points.
Market ADP is 148.4, which translates to pick 13.04 in a 12-team snake draft, based on a median across two platforms. That is the pick you would need to commit to land him.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the numbers
The same names cash in your league every year
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