Rashid Shaheed — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Rashid Shaheed's 2025 season was his most productive on record. He hauled in 59 receptions on 92 targets for 687 receiving yards and added 69 rushing yards on 9 carries, giving him a genuine dual-threat profile. That target share represents a meaningful step forward from his 75-target 2023 campaign and a sharp recovery from the 41-target 2024 season. Over three years, his per-season averages sit at 69.3 targets, 41.7 receptions, 585 receiving yards, and 3.3 receiving touchdowns, with a modest rushing contribution of 7.3 attempts and 45 yards per year. The 2025 volume is the clearest signal in the data set that he can absorb a legitimate role in a passing offense. Now with Seattle, he carries that workload into a new situation.

What the model projects

The projection is 103.3 half-PPR fantasy points. That places Shaheed at #134 overall and WR58, landing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -21.9, meaning the projection sits below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The headline number reflects a player whose three-year average production profile is real but whose ceiling in this context is limited by positional depth across the league.

The range of outcomes

The simulated season band is wide, which is the defining feature of Shaheed's outlook. The median simulated season lands at 92.7 points, a touch below the 103.3 point estimate. The bottom 10% of simulated seasons finish at or below 31.0 points, a near-zero fantasy contribution. The 25th percentile is 57.4 points, still a fringe-starter output at best. On the upside, the 75th percentile reaches 128.5 points and the top 10% of simulated seasons hit 175.3 points. That upper band is a legitimate fantasy contributor. The gap between the p10 and p90 outcomes, 31.0 to 175.3, is as wide as it gets for a player at this tier, and it tells you the variance here is high in both directions.

How to draft him

Market ADP for Shaheed is 134.0, drawn from two platforms, which translates to pick 12.02 in a 12-team snake draft. His bye week is 11. At this draft slot you are deep into the roster-building phase, filling out flex spots and stashing upside. Shaheed's -21.9 draft value and WR58 rank make him a below-replacement projection, so the case for spending a pick on him rests entirely on the p90 outcome of 175.3 points. If you want that upside, the market is pricing him at pick 134, late in round 12. Target him there if your roster construction can absorb the variance.

In 2025 he posted 92 targets, 59 receptions, 687 receiving yards, and 2 receiving touchdowns, adding 9 rush attempts for 69 yards. It was his highest target and reception total across the three seasons on record.

The projection is 103.3 half-PPR fantasy points. He ranks #134 overall and WR58, in Tier 9. His draft value is -21.9, placing him below replacement level at wide receiver in a 12-team half-PPR format.

The simulated season band runs from 31.0 points at the 10th percentile to 175.3 points at the 90th percentile. The median simulated season is 92.7 points. A strong season, top 25% of outcomes, reaches 128.5 points or better.

Market ADP is 134.0 across two platforms, which works out to pick 12.02 in a 12-team draft. If you want him, that is the round where you need to spend the pick.