#130 overall · SEA · 103.0 projected half-PPR pts · -19.5 Draft Value · Market ADP 146.7
Rashid Shaheed — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Rashid Shaheed is now a Seattle Seahawk, and his 2025 season showed the most target volume of his three-year career — 92 targets, 59 receptions, 687 receiving yards, and a rushing contribution of 69 yards on 9 attempts. That target share represents a meaningful step up from his 2023 pace (75 targets, 46 receptions) and a significant recovery from a 2024 campaign that produced only 41 targets and 20 receptions. The three-year averages — 69.3 targets, 41.7 receptions, 585 receiving yards, and 3.3 receiving touchdowns per season — paint a picture of a receiver who has shown he can be a consistent part of an offense when healthy and active. His role also includes a modest but real rushing dimension, averaging 7.3 rush attempts per year over that span.
What the model projects
The projection for Shaheed in 2026 is 103.0 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -19.5, meaning the projection lands below the replacement-level baseline at wide receiver for a standard 12-team half-PPR league. He ranks #130 overall and WR53 by that value-over-replacement measure, placing him in Tier 9 on the board. His bye week is Week 11.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 0 | 75 | 46 | 719 | 5 | — | 0 | 0 | 128.6 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 41 | 20 | 349 | 3 | — | 0 | 0 | 65.8 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 69 | 0 | 92 | 59 | 687 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 115.1 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 7.3 | 45 | — | 69.3 | 41.7 | 585 | 3.3 | 0.3 | — | — | 103.7 |
The range of outcomes
Shaheed's three-season history illustrates genuine variance. His receiving yard totals have swung from 349 (2024) to 719 (2023) to 687 (2025), and his touchdown production has ranged from 2 to 5 in a single season. That kind of year-to-year movement is baked into any honest assessment of his ceiling and floor. A season closer to his 2023 output — 719 yards and 5 touchdowns — would push him well above the 103.0-point projection. A repeat of his 2024 line would fall well short of it. The 2025 fumble lost is a minor negative to track. The honest range here is wide, and the median outcome lands below replacement level at the position.
How to draft him
Shaheed's market ADP is 146.7, drawn from two platforms, which translates to pick 13.03 in a 12-team snake draft — Round 13, third pick. Our model has him at #130 overall and WR53. If you want him on your roster, the market is currently taking him in the 13th round. At that stage of a draft, he is a depth or upside flier rather than a foundational piece, and his -19.5 draft value reflects that. He is a name to monitor in the late rounds if you need wide receiver depth or are chasing a touchdown-upside dart throw.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection is 103.0 half-PPR fantasy points. He ranks #130 overall and WR53, with a draft value of -19.5, placing him in Tier 9.
Over the past three seasons, he has averaged 69.3 targets and 41.7 receptions per year. His target totals were 75 in 2023, 41 in 2024, and 92 in 2025 — showing real year-to-year variance but a clear uptick in 2025.
His market ADP is 146.7 across two platforms, which works out to Round 13, pick 3 in a 12-team draft. That is the stage of the draft where you would need to spend a pick to secure him.
His best prior season produced 719 receiving yards and 5 receiving touchdowns (2023). His 2025 season added 687 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns on a career-high 92 targets. Those are the historical data points that define his ceiling.