#137 overall · LAR · 121.2 projected half-PPR pts · -24.7 Draft Value
Los Angeles Rams — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
The Rams have posted a sack total of 41, 38, and 47 over the past three seasons, averaging 42 sacks per year across that stretch. Their interception numbers have climbed each year: 10 in 2023, 13 in 2024, 16 in 2025. Fumbles forced have followed the same upward path, from 7 to 10 to 12, with fumbles recovered averaging 7.0 per season over the three-year window. The 2025 season also produced 2 defensive touchdowns and a points-allowed total of 346, the lowest of the three-year span. For a drafter who wants a DST with a demonstrated pass-rush floor and a takeaway trend moving in the right direction, the Rams have the recent production to support that case.
What the model projects
The projection is 121.2 half-PPR fantasy points. The draft value is -24.7, meaning the projection sits below replacement level at the DST position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The Rams rank DST11 at the position and #137 overall, placing them in Tier 9. Their bye week is Week 11.
| Sacks | INT | FF | FR | TD | Saf | PA | PA 1-6 | PA 7-13 | PA 14-20 | PA 21-27 | PA 28-34 | PA 35+ | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 41 | 10 | 7 | 5 | — | — | 377 | — | 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 84.0 |
| 2024 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 386 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 114.0 |
| 2025 | 47 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 2 | — | 346 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 142.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 42 | 13 | 9.7 | 7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 369.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 102.5 |
The range of outcomes
The three-year history gives a reasonable picture of the variance involved. Points allowed ranged from 346 (2025) to 386 (2024), and the game-by-game scoring distributions shifted noticeably year to year. In 2025, the Rams held opponents to 7-13 points in 4 games and allowed 35 or more in just 1; in 2024, they allowed 35 or more in 3 games. Sacks swung from 38 to 47 across the same window. Interceptions have been the most consistent upward trend, but even that category can regress in any single season. The floor is a unit that generates pressure and forces turnovers at a reasonable rate; the ceiling depends on whether the takeaway and sack numbers from 2025 hold or improve.
How to draft him
The Rams are not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. That means there is no pick cost to plan around, and in most drafts they will be available deep into the later rounds as a streaming option or a late-round DST add. At DST11 with a negative draft value, the expectation should be set accordingly: this is a back-of-draft selection, not a priority. Note the Week 11 bye and plan your streaming schedule around it.
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Questions drafters ask
The model projects 121.2 points and a draft value of -24.7, which places them below replacement level at the position. They rank DST11 and #137 overall in Tier 9. The recent production is real, but the projection reflects a unit that is not expected to return surplus value over a replacement-level DST in this format.
Sacks were 41 in 2023, 38 in 2024, and 47 in 2025, for a three-year average of 42. Fumbles forced rose from 7 to 10 to 12 over the same span. The trend is positive, with 2025 representing the high-water mark for both categories.
Interceptions were 10 in 2023, 13 in 2024, and 16 in 2025, averaging 13 per season over the three-year window. Fumbles recovered averaged 7.0 per season across the same stretch. The interception trend has moved upward each year.
The Rams do not have a market ADP, so they are not being drafted at a consistent pick in public drafts and should be available late in most formats. Their bye week is Week 11, which is worth factoring into any streaming plan built around them.
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Beyond the numbers
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