#84 overall · GB · 109.5 projected half-PPR pts · -2.5 Draft Value · Market ADP 69.2
Tucker Kraft — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Tucker Kraft earned the starting tight end role in Green Bay and ran with it in 2024, hauling in 50 receptions for 707 yards and 7 touchdowns on 70 targets. That touchdown total is real production, not noise — he found the end zone in a way his 2023 rookie season (2 TDs on 40 targets) only hinted at. His 2025 season showed a step back in volume (44 targets, 32 receptions, 489 yards) but he still scored 6 times, keeping his three-year average at 5 receiving touchdowns per season. For a tight end, consistent red-zone presence is the engine of fantasy value, and Kraft has demonstrated it across two consecutive seasons.
What the model projects
The projection has Kraft at 109.5 half-PPR fantasy points for 2026. That places him at TE8 and #84 overall, sitting in Tier 9 on the board. His draft value of -2.5 means he projects just below replacement level at the position — a narrow margin, but it does put him on the wrong side of the line. The three-year averages that feed into this picture: 51.3 targets, 37.7 receptions, 517 receiving yards, and 5 receiving touchdowns per season.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 31 | 355 | 2 | — | 0 | 0 | 63.0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 70 | 50 | 707 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 136.3 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 44 | 32 | 489 | 6 | — | 0 | 0 | 101.2 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 1.3 | 3 | — | 51.3 | 37.7 | 517 | 5 | 0.3 | — | — | 100.9 |
The range of outcomes
Kraft's season-to-season history already illustrates the variance baked into his profile. His target share swung from 40 in 2023 to 70 in 2024 and back to 44 in 2025 — that kind of fluctuation is the story of his range. A season closer to his 2024 peak (707 yards, 7 TDs) would push him well above his projection; a season that mirrors his 2023 or 2025 volume would leave him short of it. Touchdown rate is the swing variable: he has shown he can score at a high clip when the opportunities are there, but those opportunities have not been consistent year to year.
How to draft him
Market ADP has Kraft going at pick 69.2 — that is round 6, pick 9 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. Our model ranks him #84 overall and TE8. If you want him, the market is currently pricing him in the sixth round. His bye is Week 11, which is worth noting for roster management in the back half of the season.
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Questions drafters ask
He caught 50 passes for 707 yards and 7 touchdowns on 70 targets — a clear breakout from his 2023 rookie season of 31 receptions, 355 yards, and 2 TDs.
His 2025 target volume fell to 44 (from 70 in 2024), and he finished with 32 receptions, 489 yards, and 6 touchdowns. The three-year average settles at 51.3 targets and 5 receiving TDs per season — that average, not the single-season peak, is what the projection is built on.
He is TE8 and #84 overall, placed in Tier 9, with a projected 109.5 half-PPR points and a draft value of -2.5, meaning he sits just below replacement level at the position.
Market ADP puts him at pick 69.2 — round 6, pick 9 in a 12-team draft — based on a median across two platforms. That is the pick you would need to spend to secure him before the market moves on.