#235 overall · LAR · 53.4 projected half-PPR pts · -58.6 Draft Value
Colby Parkinson — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Colby Parkinson's 2025 season was the clearest signal yet that he can be a legitimate red-zone weapon. He hauled in 43 receptions on 56 targets for 408 yards and — the number that matters most — 8 receiving touchdowns. That touchdown total is a sharp departure from the 2 he scored in 2023 and the 1 he managed in 2024. Over the three-year window from 2023 through 2025, he averaged 32.7 receptions, 316.3 receiving yards, and 3.7 receiving touchdowns per season. The 2025 breakout is the reason he's on the radar at all, and it's a real data point, not a projection artifact.
What the model projects
The projection for Parkinson is 53.4 half-PPR fantasy points in 2026. His draft value sits at -58.6, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the tight end position. That places him at TE33 and #235 overall, in Tier 9 on the board. His bye week is Week 11. The headline number reflects a position where replacement-level production is a real ceiling risk, and the negative draft value is the honest read on where he stands relative to the full pool of available tight ends.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 25 | 247 | 2 | — | 0 | 0 | 49.2 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 30 | 294 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 50.4 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 43 | 408 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 108.3 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46.3 | 32.7 | 316.3 | 3.7 | 0.3 | — | — | 70.2 |
The range of outcomes
Parkinson's recent history illustrates exactly why the outcome band at this tier can be wide. His receiving touchdowns went from 2 (2023) to 1 (2024) to 8 (2025) — a three-year swing that captures how volatile a tight end's fantasy value can be when touchdown volume is the primary driver. A season closer to his 2025 form pushes his value well above the projection; a reversion toward his 2023–2024 touchdown rates collapses it. Drafters targeting him are essentially taking a position on which version shows up.
How to draft him
Parkinson does not have a market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce one. That means he is available as a late-round or post-draft addition in most leagues rather than a pick you need to plan around. At TE33 and #235 overall with a -58.6 draft value, he profiles as a speculative add rather than a core roster piece. If you're building depth at tight end and want a player whose 2025 touchdown production gives him a plausible path to relevance, he fits that role — but the projection and draft value are clear-eyed about the baseline expectation.
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Questions drafters ask
His 8 receiving touchdowns in 2025 were a significant jump from 2 in 2023 and 1 in 2024. The three-year average is 3.7 receiving touchdowns per season, which shows how much that single season moves the needle. The projection of 53.4 points reflects the full picture, not just the peak.
He does not have a market ADP — he isn't being drafted consistently enough across platforms to generate one. In most 12-team leagues, he's available without spending a meaningful pick.
His draft value is -58.6, which means the projection falls below replacement level at tight end. He ranks TE33 at the position and #235 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board.
He saw 56 targets and caught 43 of them for 408 yards and 8 touchdowns in 2025. His three-year averages (2023–2025) are 46.3 targets, 32.7 receptions, and 316.3 receiving yards per season.