#272 overall · ARI · 99.3 projected half-PPR pts · -73.7 Draft Value
Chad Ryland — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Chad Ryland has logged three consecutive seasons of NFL action, and the 2024 and 2025 campaigns show a kicker who settled in. He made 28 of 32 attempts in 2024 and 25 of 33 in 2025, with his long-range work growing each year: 4 makes from 50-plus yards in 2024, then 6 in 2025. Extra-point volume has climbed as well, reaching 36 attempts and 36 makes in 2025. The three-year averages tell a similar story: 23 field goals made per season on 30 attempts, with 28.7 extra points per season. For a drafter who wants a kicker with a recent track record of high-volume opportunities, Ryland's last two seasons provide a concrete foundation.
What the model projects
The projection is 99.3 half-PPR fantasy points for 2025. Ryland sits at K26 by position rank and #272 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -73.7, which means the projection lands below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. Arizona's bye is Week 14, a factor worth noting for playoff-week roster management.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16 | 9 | 24 | 72.0 |
| 2024 | 28 | 3 | 26 | 122.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | 7 | 36 | 123.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 23 | 6.3 | 28.7 | 22.4 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide. The bottom 10 percent of outcomes lands at 12.2 points, a floor that reflects how volatile kicker scoring can be. The 25th percentile comes in at 62.2 points. The median simulated season is 110.8 points, above the point estimate of 99.3. The 75th percentile reaches 129.7 and the top 10 percent of outcomes climbs to 153.9 points. That spread from 12.2 to 153.9 captures the full range of season-to-season variance at the position. The 2023 season, when Ryland missed 9 of 25 attempts, is a reminder that the low end of that band is not hypothetical.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Ryland is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. In practice, that means he is available as a late-round or undrafted addition in most 2026 snake drafts. His #272 overall rank and K26 position rank reflect a below-replacement projection, so the calculus is straightforward: there is no urgency to spend a pick on him early, and the lack of a market ADP confirms the field agrees. If you want a kicker with recent high-volume seasons in Arizona, Ryland is a name to monitor on the waiver wire rather than a target to budget a pick for.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
His draft value is -73.7, meaning the projection of 99.3 points sits below replacement level at kicker in a 12-team half-PPR format. He ranks K26 and #272 overall. With no market ADP available, the field is not consistently drafting him, which aligns with that below-replacement projection.
In 2024 he made 28 of 32 field goal attempts, missing 3. In 2025 he made 25 of 33, missing 7. His 2023 season was rougher: 16 makes on 25 attempts with 9 misses. The three-year average is 23 makes on 30 attempts per season.
Ryland has made 2 field goals from 50-plus yards in 2023, 4 in 2024, and 6 in 2025, showing a clear upward trend in that distance range over the three seasons.
Arizona's bye is Week 14. Depending on your league's playoff schedule, that timing could affect his availability during the fantasy postseason, so it is worth checking against your specific format before rostering him.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the numbers
The same names cash in your league every year
That isn't luck. Those managers have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written. Paste it in a couple of minutes and RotoAlpha writes the book on every rival: who reaches, who chases runs, who overpays. The rival report is free.
Get the book on your rivals →