#261 overall · CIN · 58.4 projected half-PPR pts · -70.4 Draft Value
Andrei Iosivas — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Andrei Iosivas has logged back-to-back seasons of genuine production in Cincinnati. In 2024 he caught 36 passes for 479 yards and 6 touchdowns on 61 targets. In 2025 he followed with 33 receptions, 435 yards, and 2 touchdowns on 58 targets, adding 3 rush attempts for 14 yards. Averaged across the three seasons from 2023 through 2025, he has seen 48 targets, hauled in 28 receptions, and scored 4 receiving touchdowns per year. The touchdown rate in 2024 stands out as the clearest argument in his favor: six scores on 61 targets is a meaningful red-zone role, and that kind of efficiency keeps a receiver relevant even when raw volume is modest.
What the model projects
The projection is 58.4 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. His draft value is -70.4, placing him WR87 and #261 overall in Tier 9. A negative draft value means the projection sits below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a 12-team half-PPR format. At this tier and rank, Iosivas is a depth option, not a building block.
| Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush yds | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 25 | 15 | 116 | 4 | — | — | 43.1 |
| 2024 | 61 | 36 | 479 | 6 | — | — | 101.9 |
| 2025 | 58 | 33 | 435 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 73.4 |
| 3-yr avg | 48 | 28 | 343.3 | 4 | 1 | 4.7 | 72.8 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide, which is the defining feature of his profile. The bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons land at 3.4 points. The 25th percentile is 17.6 points. The median simulated season is 39.9 points. The 75th percentile reaches 73.5 points, and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at 117.7 points. That p90 figure is more than 30 times the p10 figure, a spread that reflects genuine uncertainty about his role and volume. The upside exists, but the floor is essentially zero.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Iosivas does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being selected consistently enough to register a median draft position. In a standard 12-team snake draft he is a late-round or undrafted consideration. His rank of #261 overall and WR87 in Tier 9 confirm he belongs at the very back end of a roster, taken only after every meaningful starter and handcuff has been addressed. His bye falls in Week 6, worth noting if you are stacking the back of your roster. The wide outcome band means the occasional high-upside week is possible, but the median and floor both argue for treating him as a speculative add rather than a planned roster spot.
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Questions drafters ask
His projection of 58.4 points and a draft value of -70.4 put him at WR87 and #261 overall in Tier 9, below replacement level at the position. He is a speculative depth add, not a planned starter.
He saw 61 targets in 2024 and 58 in 2025, with the three-year average sitting at 48 targets per season. Volume has been modest but consistent over the last two years.
The 90th-percentile simulated season lands at 117.7 half-PPR points. That is the top 10 percent of outcomes, driven in part by a touchdown-scoring track record that includes 6 receiving scores in 2024.
The band runs from 3.4 points at the 10th percentile to 117.7 at the 90th percentile. The median simulated season is 39.9 points. The floor is effectively zero, so he carries real bust risk alongside the upside.
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Beyond the numbers
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