#266 overall · GB · 97.5 projected half-PPR pts · -71.3 Draft Value
Brandon McManus — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
McManus has been a consistent volume kicker over the past three seasons. In 2023 he connected on 30 of 37 field goal attempts, including 11 from 40-49 yards and 5 from 50-plus, while converting all 35 extra point attempts. The three-year averages back up the workload story: 29.3 field goal attempts, 24.7 makes, and 32.3 extra points per season. That is a kicker who sees the ball regularly. Now with Green Bay, he lands in an offense that generates scoring opportunities, which is the foundational requirement for any kicker worth a late-round pick.
What the model projects
The projection is 97.5 half-PPR fantasy points. McManus sits at K28 and #266 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -71.3, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. That number is the honest starting point for any conversation about whether he belongs on your roster.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 30 | 6 | 35 | 140.0 |
| 2024 | 20 | 1 | 30 | 98.0 |
| 2025 | 24 | 5 | 32 | 108.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 24.7 | 4 | 32.3 | 28.3 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide, which is typical for the position. A bad season, bottom 10% of simulated outcomes, lands at 11.9 points. The 25th percentile is 60.8 points. The median simulated season comes in at 108.6 points, above the point estimate of 97.5. The 75th percentile is 127.4 points, and a top-10% season reaches 151.2 points. The gap between the floor and the ceiling is substantial: a poor year is nearly worthless in fantasy terms, while a strong year produces a genuinely useful kicker. That variance is the defining feature of the position, and McManus is no exception.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
McManus is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, so there is no pick-cost benchmark to reference. In practice, that means he is available as a free agent or a final-round afterthought in most drafts. His projection and draft value place him at K28 and #266 overall in Tier 9. If you are targeting a kicker at all, those ranks define where he sits relative to the rest of the position. Given the negative draft value, the case for spending any meaningful pick on him is thin; he is a streaming candidate and a depth option, not a target you need to plan around.
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Questions drafters ask
Over the 2023-2025 span, he averaged 29.3 field goal attempts and 24.7 makes per season, with an average of 4 misses per year. In 2023 alone he attempted 37 and made 30, his highest single-season volume in the sample.
The projection is 97.5 half-PPR fantasy points. He ranks K28 and #266 overall in Tier 9, with a draft value of -71.3, which places him below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format.
The simulated season band runs from 11.9 points at the 10th percentile to 151.2 points at the 90th percentile. The median simulated season is 108.6 points. That is a significant spread, reflecting the high variance inherent to the kicker position.
He does not have a market ADP, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to establish one. He is effectively available as a free agent or a final-round fill-in in most 2026 drafts.
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Beyond the numbers
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