#129 overall · JAX · 97.5 projected half-PPR pts · -19.4 Draft Value · Market ADP 56.7
Bhayshul Tuten — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Bhayshul Tuten's 2025 season was compact but productive. In 83 carries he posted 307 rush yards and five rushing touchdowns, adding 10 receptions on 14 targets for 79 receiving yards and two more scores. Seven total touchdowns in a limited sample is a real number, and it's the entire foundation of his fantasy case. Jacksonville's backfield gives him a path to a larger role, and the touchdown rate he showed in 2025 is the kind of thing that keeps a back relevant even when volume is modest.
What the model projects
The projection for Tuten is 97.5 half-PPR fantasy points in 2026. His draft value sits at -19.4, placing him #129 overall and RB35. He is a Tier 9 player on the board. The projection reflects a back whose 2025 production — his only NFL history on record — was built almost entirely in that single season.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 307 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 79 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 83.6 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 83 | 307 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 79 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 85.6 |
The range of outcomes
Tuten's outcome band is not available in the current data set, so the projection of 97.5 points is the number to anchor to. What the 2025 stat line does tell you is that variance is real here: seven touchdowns in 83 carries is a high-touchdown-rate season, and touchdown scoring is among the most volatile inputs in a running back's fantasy line. A season where that rate regresses looks very different from one where he holds it and adds volume. His receiving work — 14 targets, 10 catches — is a modest but genuine floor contributor.
How to draft him
The market is currently taking Tuten at pick 56.7 on average — that's round 5, pick 9 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. Our model has him at #129 overall and RB35. If you want him, round 5 is when you'd need to spend the pick. His bye is Week 7, which is worth noting for roster management in the early-to-mid portion of the season.
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Questions drafters ask
He carried the ball 83 times for 307 yards and five rushing touchdowns, and caught 10 of 14 targets for 79 yards and two receiving touchdowns — seven total scores in his only recorded NFL season.
He projects at 97.5 half-PPR fantasy points, ranks #129 overall and RB35, and sits in Tier 9 on the board. His draft value is -19.4, meaning he projects below replacement level at the running back position.
The market is currently taking him at an average of pick 56.7 — round 5, pick 9 in a 12-team draft — based on a median across two platforms. That's the pick cost if you want to secure him.
Tuten and the Jaguars are off in Week 7.