Bhayshul Tuten — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Bhayshul Tuten's 2025 season is the only NFL production on record, and it showed a back who can do a little of everything. He carried the ball 83 times for 307 rushing yards and scored 5 rushing touchdowns. He added 10 receptions on 14 targets for 79 receiving yards and 2 more scores. Seven total touchdowns on a modest touch count is a real signal. The receiving work, thin as it is, confirms he has at least a role in the passing game, and the touchdown rate gives him a floor that pure volume backs without red-zone presence cannot claim. For a drafter willing to wait deep into a draft, that touchdown history is the hook.

What the model projects

The projection is 114.6 half-PPR fantasy points. Tuten sits at RB32 and #109 overall, landing in Tier 9. His draft value is -13.2, meaning the projection places him below replacement level at the running back position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The headline number and the position rank tell the same story: this is a depth back whose projected output sits at the margins of usable fantasy production.

The range of outcomes

The outcome band is wide, which is the defining feature of Tuten's profile. The median simulated season lands at 117.4 points, close to the 114.6 projection. But the bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons comes in at 35.2 points, and the top 10 percent reaches 205.3 points. The 25th percentile is 69.9 and the 75th is 162.1. That spread from 35.2 to 205.3 is substantial. A drafter who lands the upside scenario gets a back who outproduces his draft cost by a wide margin. A drafter who lands the downside scenario gets very little. There is no middle ground here that looks comfortable; the variance is the entire story. His bye falls in Week 7.

How to draft him

Market ADP has Tuten going at pick 56.5, which works out to the 5th round, 9th pick in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. Our rankings place him at #109 overall. Those two numbers describe very different valuations of the same player. A drafter who wants him should understand that the market is pricing him in Round 5, well ahead of where the projection ranks him. If you are targeting Tuten, the market will ask for a fifth-round pick. Given his -13.2 draft value and RB32 projection, the decision comes down to whether the touchdown upside and the wide outcome band justify spending that pick rather than waiting for a later round.

He carried the ball 83 times for 307 rushing yards and 5 rushing touchdowns, caught 10 passes on 14 targets for 79 receiving yards, and added 2 receiving touchdowns. He also lost 1 fumble. Those are the only NFL stats on record; his 3-year aggregate numbers are identical, meaning 2025 was his first NFL action.

The projection is 114.6 half-PPR fantasy points. That places him at RB32 and #109 overall in Tier 9, with a draft value of -13.2, which is below replacement level for the running back position in a 12-team half-PPR format.

The band runs from 35.2 points at the 10th percentile to 205.3 at the 90th percentile. The median simulated season is 117.4 points. The upside scenario is a back who scores well above his draft cost; the downside scenario produces very little fantasy value.

Market ADP has him at pick 56.5, or Round 5, pick 9 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. That is the pick the market is currently charging for him.