#251 overall · NE · 105.8 projected half-PPR pts · -65.3 Draft Value · Market ADP 189.2
Andy Borregales — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Andy Borregales handled a full kicking workload for New England in 2025, attempting 32 field goals and 55 extra points. He connected on 27 of those field goals, including 16 from inside 40 yards, 7 from 40-49, and 4 from 50 or beyond. He missed 4 field goal attempts on the season. The three-year aggregate through 2023-2025 matches the 2025 line exactly, which tells you his NFL sample is concentrated in that single season. For a drafter who waits on the kicker position, Borregales offers a documented volume of attempts and a demonstrated range that reaches past 50 yards.
What the model projects
The projection is 105.8 half-PPR fantasy points. The median simulated season lands at 118.3 points, above the point estimate, while the bottom-10% outcome sits at 18.9 points and the top-10% outcome reaches 156.6 points. His draft value is -65.3, placing him #251 overall and K22 in Tier 9. That negative draft value means the projection sits below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27 | 4 | 53 | 145.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 27 | 4 | 53 | 49.0 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide. The 25th-percentile season is 74.7 points and the 75th-percentile season is 134.0 points, a spread of roughly 59 points across the middle half of simulated seasons alone. The floor is severe: the 10th-percentile outcome is 18.9 points, a near-zero fantasy contribution. The ceiling of 156.6 points at the 90th percentile is real but requires things to break well. New England's bye falls in Week 11, a factor worth noting when setting lineups. The variance here is among the highest in the kicker tier, and the downside is steep.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Market ADP on Borregales is 189.2, drawn from 2 platforms, which works out to pick 16.09 in a 12-team draft. That is a late-round-16 selection. He ranks K22 and sits at #251 overall. In most 12-team leagues, kickers are drafted last or near-last, and that is exactly where the market is pricing him. If you are targeting him, Round 16 is when you would need to spend the pick. Given the negative draft value and the wide downside band, he is a speculative add at best, and only after every other positional need is addressed.
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Questions drafters ask
His draft value is -65.3, which puts him below replacement level at kicker in a 12-team half-PPR format. He ranks K22 and #251 overall in Tier 9. The projection is 105.8 points, but the 10th-percentile simulated season is just 18.9 points. He is a late-round flier at best, and only after all other roster spots are filled.
Borregales attempted 32 field goals and 55 extra points in 2025, converting 27 field goals and 53 extra points. He missed 4 field goal attempts. That is a meaningful workload, and the three-year aggregate through 2023-2025 is identical, confirming his NFL sample is essentially that one season.
The 90th-percentile simulated outcome is 156.6 half-PPR points. Reaching that level requires a strong season from the New England offense and continued long-range production; he hit 4 field goals from 50-plus yards in 2025.
Market ADP is 189.2 across 2 platforms, which translates to pick 16.09 in a 12-team draft. Round 16 is when you would need to commit a pick to secure him.
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Beyond the numbers
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