#246 overall · PHI · 54.7 projected half-PPR pts · -62.1 Draft Value
Tank Bigsby — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Tank Bigsby is now on Philadelphia's roster, and the case for him is straightforward: he is a young running back with a demonstrated ability to carry the ball and find the end zone. In 2024 — his most active season to date — he posted 766 rush yards and 7 rushing touchdowns on 168 attempts. That touchdown rate is real production, not noise. Over his three recorded seasons (2023–2025), he has averaged 93.7 rush attempts, 418 rush yards, and 3.7 rushing touchdowns per year. The receiving work has been limited — 3.7 receptions and 30.7 receiving yards per season on average — but the rushing floor is established. If opportunity expands in Philadelphia, the underlying skill set is already on tape.
What the model projects
The projection for Bigsby in 2026 is 54.7 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -62.1, placing him #246 overall and RB53 — Tier 9 on the board. These numbers reflect where he stands relative to replacement level at the running back position: below it, by a meaningful margin. Philadelphia has a Week 10 bye. The projection is the headline number; the tier and rank tell you how the model values him against the full field.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 132 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24.3 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 766 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 54 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 125.5 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 356 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 52.3 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 93.7 | 418 | 3.7 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 30.7 | — | 1.3 | — | — | 68.9 |
The range of outcomes
Bigsby's recent season-by-season lines illustrate the variance already present in his profile. In 2023 he totaled 132 rush yards and 2 touchdowns on 50 attempts. In 2024 he stepped up to 766 rush yards and 7 touchdowns on 168 attempts. In 2025 the line contracted to 356 rush yards and 2 touchdowns on 63 attempts. That swing — from a near-full workload to a sharply reduced one and back — defines the outcome band for a back in his situation. A season closer to his 2024 line would look very different from one closer to his 2025 line. The receiving contribution has been consistently thin across all three years, so upside in that dimension is not well-supported by the record.
How to draft him
Bigsby does not have a market ADP across public 2026 draft platforms, which means he is not being consistently drafted in standard snake formats at this time. At RB53 and #246 overall, he is a deep-roster consideration — the kind of back you add late or off the wire if the situation changes. His Tier 9 placement reflects that reality. Draft him only if you are specifically targeting depth at running back and are comfortable with the variance his recent usage history demonstrates. Philadelphia's Week 10 bye is a scheduling note worth logging if he does end up on your roster.
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Questions drafters ask
At RB53 and #246 overall with a draft value of -62.1, he projects below replacement level at the position. He has no market ADP across public platforms, meaning he is not being consistently drafted. He is a deep-roster or waiver-wire target, not a pick you need to spend in most formats.
In 2024 he carried the ball 168 times for 766 yards and 7 touchdowns. In 2025 those numbers dropped to 63 attempts, 356 yards, and 2 touchdowns. His three-year average is 93.7 attempts, 418 rush yards, and 3.7 rushing touchdowns per season.
Minimally. Over three seasons he has averaged 6.7 targets, 3.7 receptions, and 30.7 receiving yards per year. His 2024 season was his most active in that regard — 12 targets, 7 receptions, 54 yards — but receiving work has been a small part of his profile across the board.
His 2024 season is the high-water mark on record: 766 rush yards, 7 rushing touchdowns, 54 receiving yards on 168 attempts. That line produced meaningful fantasy output. The question is whether he can return to that level of opportunity, given that his 2025 usage was considerably lighter.