#254 overall · TEN · 102.9 projected half-PPR pts · -66.4 Draft Value
Joey Slye — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Joey Slye has been one of the more active kickers in the league over the past three seasons. In 2025 he connected on 28 of 35 field goal attempts, including 9 from 50-plus yards, and added 26 extra points. That 50-plus range production is notable: he hit 3 from that distance in 2023, 6 in 2024, and 9 in 2025, a clear upward trend in deep attempts and makes. His three-year averages back the volume story: 24.3 made field goals, 27.7 extra points, and 30.7 attempts per season. Drafters who wait on kicker and want a high-attempt floor have a real case here.
What the model projects
The projection is 102.9 half-PPR fantasy points for 2025. Slye sits at K24 and #254 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -66.4, which means the projection lands below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The point estimate of 102.9 sits below the median simulated season of 115.2, so the distribution has a longer tail on the downside than the upside.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | 4 | 32 | 98.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | 6 | 25 | 114.0 |
| 2025 | 28 | 6 | 26 | 129.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 24.3 | 5.3 | 27.7 | 22.4 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide. At the 10th percentile, a bad season lands at 12.8 points; at the 25th percentile it reaches 65.3. The median outcome is 115.2 points. A strong season at the 75th percentile produces 134.2, and a top-10% outcome reaches 159.2. That gap between the p10 and p50 is the defining feature of this band: the floor is genuinely low, while the ceiling is modest. Kicker variance is real, and Slye's band reflects it as clearly as any position.
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our projection
How to draft him
Slye is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, so there is no pick-cost signal to report. In practice that means he is likely available as a late-round or undrafted add in most 2026 snake drafts. His rank of #254 overall and K24 position rank place him outside the core kicker tier, so the drafting calculus is straightforward: if you want his volume profile, you can likely wait until the final rounds or the waiver wire. His bye is Week 9, worth noting for roster management.
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Questions drafters ask
He made 3 field goals from 50-plus yards in 2023, 6 in 2024, and 9 in 2025, with attempts rising from 24 to 33 to 35 over the same span.
The 10th-percentile simulated outcome is 12.8 half-PPR points, and the 25th percentile is 65.3. The floor is genuinely low relative to the median of 115.2.
He does not have a market ADP, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to register one. He is likely available in the final rounds or as a waiver addition.
His draft value is -66.4, which places him below replacement level at kicker in a 12-team half-PPR format. He ranks K24 and #254 overall in Tier 9.
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Beyond the numbers
The same names cash in your league every year
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