#244 overall · MIA · 68.2 projected half-PPR pts · -61.7 Draft Value
Riley Patterson — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Riley Patterson is on the Miami roster with three seasons of NFL kicking work behind him. His most recent season stands as his most active: 29 field goal attempts, 27 made, 35 extra point attempts, and 34 converted. That 2025 workload is a meaningful step up from his 2023 line of 18 field goal attempts and 44 extra point attempts, and a significant jump from a light 2024 campaign of just 7 field goal attempts and 16 extra point attempts. Over the three-year window, he has averaged 18 field goal attempts and 15.7 makes per season, with a miss rate of roughly 2.3 per year — a tight conversion profile. The 2025 season, in particular, shows a kicker who was trusted with volume.
What the model projects
The projection for Patterson is 68.2 half-PPR fantasy points. His draftValue sits at -61.7, placing him #244 overall and K29 at his position. He is in Tier 9. Miami's bye week falls in Week 6.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | — | 41 | 89.0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | — | 16 | 28.0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | — | 34 | 115.0 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.7 | 2.3 | 30.3 | 75.1 |
The range of outcomes
Patterson's draftValue of -61.7 reflects a projection that sits below replacement level at the kicker position. At K29, he is deep on the positional board. The three-year aggregate shows real season-to-season variance in workload — 18 field goal attempts in 2023, 7 in 2024, 29 in 2025 — which means the range of outcomes for any given season is wide. A repeat of the 2025 volume would be the optimistic path; a return toward the 2024 workload would be the floor.
How to draft him
Patterson is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. He is ranked #244 overall and K29. At that depth on the board, he is a late-round or undrafted consideration in most 12-team leagues. Kicker is the last position filled in snake drafts, and Patterson's position rank and draftValue reflect that reality. If you are targeting him, do so only after every other positional need is addressed. His Week 6 bye is worth noting when setting your kicker rotation.
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Questions drafters ask
He attempted 29 field goals, made 27, attempted 35 extra points, and converted 34 — his most active season across the three-year window in FACTS.
The projection is 68.2 half-PPR fantasy points. His draftValue is -61.7, placing him #244 overall and K29.
He carries no market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce one. He is a late-round or undrafted option, taken only after all other positional needs are filled.
Miami's bye falls in Week 6, so Patterson will be unavailable that week.