#187 overall · PIT · 75.5 projected half-PPR pts · -36.5 Draft Value
Pat Freiermuth — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Freiermuth's 2024 season is the anchor of any argument in his favor. He posted 653 receiving yards on 65 receptions from 78 targets, adding 7 receiving touchdowns — a genuine TE1-caliber touchdown haul. His three-year averages tell a consistent story: 59.7 targets, 46 receptions, 482.3 receiving yards, and 4.3 receiving touchdowns per season. The 2024 campaign shows the ceiling is real when the targets and red-zone looks are there. For a drafter willing to wait at the position, Freiermuth is a known commodity with a demonstrated high-end outcome on the books.
What the model projects
The projection for Freiermuth is 75.5 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -36.5, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the tight end position. He ranks TE25 and #187 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board. The numbers reflect a player whose projection is modest relative to the positional baseline, not a player being written off entirely — but the value-over-replacement math is negative at this price.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 32 | 308 | 2 | — | 0 | 0 | 58.8 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 65 | 653 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 137.8 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 41 | 486 | 4 | — | 0 | 0 | 93.1 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 59.7 | 46 | 482.3 | 4.3 | 0.7 | — | — | 97.0 |
The range of outcomes
Freiermuth's own recent history illustrates the variance well. In 2023 he caught 32 passes for 308 yards and 2 touchdowns on 47 targets. In 2024 those numbers jumped to 65 receptions, 653 yards, and 7 touchdowns on 78 targets. In 2025 he settled at 41 receptions, 486 yards, and 4 touchdowns on 54 targets. That swing from floor to ceiling is wide. A season closer to the 2024 line would dramatically outperform the 75.5-point projection; a season closer to 2023 would fall well short of it. The three-year averages — 46 receptions, 482.3 yards, 4.3 touchdowns — sit somewhere in between, and that middle ground is roughly where the projection lands.
How to draft him
Freiermuth does not have a market ADP available, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce one. He is a Tier 9 tight end ranked TE25 and #187 overall. At that standing, he is a late-round or undrafted option in most 12-team snake drafts — a name to keep in mind if your preferred tight ends are gone and you are looking for a player with a demonstrated high-end season on his résumé. His bye is Week 9, which is worth noting for roster management purposes.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
He caught 65 passes for 653 yards and 7 receiving touchdowns on 78 targets — his strongest statistical season across the three years on record.
The projection is 75.5 half-PPR fantasy points. That puts him at TE25 and #187 overall, with a draft value of -36.5, meaning he projects below replacement level at the tight end position.
Over the three seasons from 2023 to 2025, he averaged 59.7 targets, 46 receptions, 482.3 receiving yards, and 4.3 receiving touchdowns per season. The volume has been reasonably steady, though the touchdown rate swung significantly year to year.
He does not have a market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce one. His rank of #187 overall and TE25 places him in late-round or undrafted territory in a standard 12-team snake draft.