#287 overall · DEN · 52.1 projected half-PPR pts · -70.4 Draft Value
Marvin Mims — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Marvin Mims has been on the Denver roster for three seasons and has logged a receiving line in each of them. His target volume has grown — 33 in 2023, 52 in 2024, 51 in 2025 — and his receiving touchdowns spiked to six in 2024 before settling back to one in 2025. He also adds a modest rushing dimension: 12–13 carries per season over the last two years, with 42 rush yards in 2024 and 78 in 2025, including a rushing touchdown in 2025. Over the three-year window, he averages 45.3 targets, 32.7 receptions, 400.7 receiving yards, and 2.7 receiving touchdowns per season. That is a real, consistent role on an NFL roster, and it belongs to him.
What the model projects
The projection for Mims in 2026 is 52.1 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value is -70.4, meaning the projection sits below replacement level at the wide receiver position. He ranks WR94 at the position and #287 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board. Denver's bye week is Week 10.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 0 | 33 | 22 | 377 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 57.7 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 42 | 0 | 52 | 39 | 503 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 110.0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 78 | 1 | 51 | 37 | 322 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 70.5 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 11.3 | 50 | 0.3 | 45.3 | 32.7 | 400.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | — | — | 79.4 |
The range of outcomes
Mims's history illustrates how wide his season-to-season variance can be. Receiving touchdowns went from 1 in 2023, to 6 in 2024, back to 1 in 2025 — on nearly identical target volumes in the latter two seasons. Receiving yards followed a similar arc: 377, 503, 322. That touchdown volatility is the dominant swing factor in his fantasy floor and ceiling. A season closer to his 2024 touchdown total would produce a meaningfully different point total than a repeat of 2025, even if targets and yardage hold steady.
How to draft him
Mims does not have a market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to register one. At #287 overall and WR94, he is a late-roster or waiver-wire consideration in standard 12-team formats. His negative draft value means the projection does not support spending a meaningful pick on him. If you are targeting him, the expectation should be a depth or handcuff role, with upside tied almost entirely to a touchdown regression toward his 2024 outlier season.
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Questions drafters ask
His projection of 52.1 points and a draft value of -70.4 place him below replacement level — WR94 and #287 overall in Tier 9. He does not have a market ADP, meaning he is not being consistently drafted. He is a depth or waiver-wire target, not a pick worth spending in most formats.
His three-year history shows a wide range. In 2024 he caught 39 passes for 503 yards and 6 touchdowns on 52 targets. In 2025, on 51 targets, he had 37 receptions, 322 yards, and 1 touchdown. The gap between those two seasons — driven almost entirely by touchdowns — defines his ceiling and floor.
His target volume has increased each season: 33 in 2023, 52 in 2024, and 51 in 2025. He has also been used as a rusher, averaging 11.3 carries per season over the last three years with 50 rushing yards per season on average. The role is real and recurring, even if the fantasy production has been inconsistent.
Denver's bye week in 2026 is Week 10.