#161 overall · MIA · 101.6 projected half-PPR pts · -27.4 Draft Value
Miami Dolphins — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Miami has shown genuine pass-rush capability over the past three seasons, averaging 43.3 sacks per year from 2023 through 2025. The 2023 peak of 56 sacks and 15 interceptions demonstrates the ceiling is real. Turnover production has been consistent — 11.3 forced fumbles and 11.3 interceptions per season on average — giving the unit multiple paths to fantasy scoring in any given week. If the pass rush returns closer to its 2023 form, the fantasy upside is meaningful.
What the model projects
The projection is 101.6 half-PPR fantasy points for 2026. That places Miami DST at DST21 and #161 overall, landing in Tier 9. The draft value is -27.4, meaning the unit projects below replacement level at the DST position on a 12-team half-PPR baseline.
| INT | Sacks | FF | FR | TD | Saf | PA | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 15 | 56 | 15 | 12 | 4 | — | 391 | 149.0 |
| 2024 | 10 | 35 | 8 | 6 | — | — | 364 | 75.0 |
| 2025 | 9 | 39 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 424 | 98.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 11.3 | 43.3 | 11.3 | 9.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 393 | 107.4 |
The range of outcomes
The three-season record tells a story of variance. Sacks dropped from 56 in 2023 to 35 in 2024, then recovered partially to 39 in 2025. Interceptions followed a similar arc — 15, 10, 9 — while fumbles forced dipped to 8 in 2024 before rebounding to 11 in 2025. Points allowed fell from 391 in 2023 to 364 in 2024, then climbed sharply to 424 in 2025. The unit has shown it can produce at an elite level, but the 2024–2025 trend in scoring defense is a real concern. A bounce-back in turnover rate and sack volume would be required to push the fantasy output meaningfully above the current projection.
How to draft him
Miami DST is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. At DST21 and #161 overall with a negative draft value, this is a late-round or waiver-wire consideration at best. Their Week 6 bye is worth noting when building your roster — plan your streaming schedule accordingly. Given the below-replacement projection, there is no urgency to roster this unit before your final picks.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection is 101.6 fantasy points, a draft value of -27.4, and a rank of DST21 — all below replacement level on a 12-team half-PPR baseline. The unit sits in Tier 9 at #161 overall, making it a streaming option rather than a locked roster spot.
Over the three seasons from 2023 to 2025, Miami averaged 43.3 sacks per year. The high was 56 sacks in 2023; the unit recorded 35 in 2024 and 39 in 2025.
Interceptions have declined from 15 in 2023 to 10 in 2024 and 9 in 2025. Forced fumbles dipped to 8 in 2024 but rebounded to 11 in 2025, close to the 2023 mark of 15. The three-year averages are 11.3 interceptions and 11.3 forced fumbles per season.
Miami DST has no consistent market ADP across platforms. At #161 overall and DST21, it projects below replacement level — treat it as a late-round flier or a streaming option, and account for the Week 6 bye when setting your lineup.