#169 overall · MIA · 110.3 projected half-PPR pts · -35.5 Draft Value
Miami Dolphins — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
The Miami Dolphins have produced some genuine pass-rush volume over the past three seasons. Their three-year average sits at 43.3 sacks per season, anchored by a 56-sack performance in 2023. Turnovers have been a consistent part of the profile as well: 11.3 forced fumbles and 11.3 interceptions per season on average across 2023-2025, with 2023 standing out at 15 interceptions and 15 forced fumbles. If you need a late-roster DST with a recognizable name and a history of generating big plays, Miami checks those boxes on paper.
What the model projects
The projection is 110.3 half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. That produces a draft value of -35.5, placing Miami at #169 overall and DST21 in Tier 9. A negative draft value means the projection sits below replacement level at the position in a 12-team half-PPR format. Miami's bye week falls in Week 6, which is worth noting for roster planning.
| Sacks | INT | FF | FR | TD | Saf | PA | PA 0 | PA 1-6 | PA 7-13 | PA 14-20 | PA 21-27 | PA 28-34 | PA 35+ | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 56 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 4 | — | 391 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 162.0 |
| 2024 | 35 | 10 | 8 | 6 | — | — | 364 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 6 | — | 87.0 |
| 2025 | 39 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 424 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 101.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 43.3 | 11.3 | 11.3 | 9.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 393 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 107.4 |
The range of outcomes
The recent history illustrates how wide DST variance can run. Sacks dropped from 56 in 2023 to 35 in 2024 before recovering to 39 in 2025. Interceptions followed a similar arc: 15, 10, then 9. Points allowed climbed from 391 in 2023 to 364 in 2024 and then to 424 in 2025, with 2025 featuring seven games allowing 28-34 points and two games allowing 35 or more. The three-year average of 393 points allowed per season reflects a unit that has been tested consistently. A bounceback in turnover production or sacks is possible given the 2023 ceiling, but the 2024-2025 trend lines point toward a more modest floor.
How to draft him
Miami is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, so there is no pick cost to anchor to. At DST21 with a negative draft value, this is a deep-roster option at best. The Tier 9 placement reflects that. If you are carrying two DSTs, Miami could serve as a streaming fallback, but the projection and rank do not support spending meaningful draft capital here. Plan around the Week 6 bye accordingly.
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Questions drafters ask
The model projects 110.3 points with a draft value of -35.5, ranking Miami DST21 and #169 overall in Tier 9. That is below replacement level in a 12-team half-PPR format, so the numbers do not support using Miami as a primary DST.
Over the past three seasons Miami averaged 43.3 sacks per year. The range runs from 35 sacks in 2024 to 56 in 2023, with 39 in 2025, so there is meaningful year-to-year variance around that average.
Points allowed have risen each of the last two seasons: 391 in 2023, 364 in 2024, and 424 in 2025. In 2025, seven games saw opponents score 28-34 points and two games saw 35 or more, compared to just two such 35-plus games in 2023.
Miami's bye falls in Week 6. Given the DST21 ranking and below-replacement projection, most managers would treat Miami as a streaming option rather than a locked starter, making the bye a manageable but real consideration.
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Beyond the numbers
The same names cash in your league every year
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