#172 overall · MIN · 84.9 projected half-PPR pts · -31.9 Draft Value · Market ADP 127.5
Jordan Mason — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Jordan Mason is now on Minnesota's roster and brings a two-year track record of legitimate workload. In 2024 he carried the ball 153 times for 789 rush yards and 3 touchdowns. In 2025 he took 159 carries for 758 rush yards and 6 rushing touchdowns — a career-best mark in the scoring column. Over the three seasons from 2023 through 2025, he averaged 117.3 rush attempts, 584.3 rush yards, and 4 rushing touchdowns per year. That is a back who has shown he can absorb a featured-back volume when given the opportunity. The touchdown upside is real: 6 rushing scores in 2025 is the kind of red-zone production that drives fantasy value in half-PPR formats.
What the model projects
The projection for Mason in 2026 is 84.9 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -31.9, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the running back position. He ranks RB41 at his position and #172 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board. Minnesota's bye week falls in Week 6.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 206 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 43.2 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 789 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 91 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 109.5 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 758 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 51 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 121.9 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 117.3 | 584.3 | 4 | 11.3 | 9.3 | 57.7 | — | 2 | — | — | 92.9 |
The range of outcomes
Mason's recent seasons illustrate how wide his outcome band can run. In 2024 he posted 789 rush yards and 3 rushing touchdowns on 153 attempts. In 2025 he posted 758 rush yards and 6 rushing touchdowns on 159 attempts — nearly identical volume, but double the scoring. Fumbles are a factor worth noting: he lost 1 fumble in each of the past two seasons while recording 3 fumbles each year. The receiving contribution has been modest — 11 receptions for 91 yards in 2024, 14 receptions for 51 yards in 2025 — and the three-year average of 9.3 receptions and 57.7 receiving yards per season confirms this is primarily a rushing profile. The upside scenario is a repeat of his 2025 touchdown rate; the downside is a 2024-style season where the scoring stays low despite similar carry volume.
How to draft him
Market ADP for Mason is 127.5, which works out to pick 11.08 in a 12-team snake draft, based on a median across two platforms. Our model has him at #172 overall and RB41. If you want him on your roster, the market is currently pulling him off the board in the eleventh round. At that stage of a draft, he is a depth or handcuff consideration rather than a building block, and his -31.9 draft value reflects a projection that sits below replacement level at the position. Draft him with clear eyes about the role he is projected to fill.
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Questions drafters ask
In 2024 he had 153 rush attempts for 789 yards and 3 rushing touchdowns. In 2025 he had 159 rush attempts for 758 yards and 6 rushing touchdowns. His three-year average from 2023–2025 is 117.3 rush attempts and 584.3 rush yards per season.
Not by the numbers. He saw 16 targets in 2025 and caught 14 of them for 51 yards, with no receiving touchdowns. In 2024 he had 14 targets, 11 receptions, and 91 receiving yards. His three-year average is 11.3 targets and 9.3 receptions per season — a limited pass-game role.
He scored 6 rushing touchdowns in 2025, which is his career high. In 2024 and 2023 he scored 3 rushing touchdowns each season. His three-year average is 4 rushing touchdowns per year, so the 2025 total represents the high end of his recent range.
His market ADP is 127.5, which translates to pick 11.08 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. That is an eleventh-round pick if you want to secure him.