Lucas Havrisik — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Lucas Havrisik is the kicker for the Green Bay Packers. His 2023 season showed he could handle a full workload: 20 field goal attempts, 15 made, and 22 extra point attempts across a complete campaign. He connected on 2 kicks from 40-49 yards and 2 from 50-plus that year, demonstrating range beyond the short end of the field. That 2023 sample is the most complete look at what he can produce when given consistent opportunity.

What the model projects

The projection is 35.3 half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. Havrisik sits at K47 and #898 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -134.0, which is below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format.

The range of outcomes

The simulated season band is wide and skewed. The p10 and p25 both sit at 0.0 points, meaning at least a quarter of simulated seasons produce nothing. The median outcome (p50) is 5.5 points. The p75 reaches 29.0 points, and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons (p90) land at 67.2 points. The distance between the median and the p90 is substantial, reflecting a high-variance profile where the upside exists but the floor is very low. The three-year averages reinforce the variance: 9.5 field goals made, 12 attempts, and 13 extra points per season on average, with 2.5 misses per year.

How to draft him

Havrisik has no market ADP available, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across public platforms to register a median pick. In a standard snake draft, kickers are typically taken in the final rounds, and a player without a trackable ADP is generally undrafted or a late-round afterthought. His rank of K47 and a draft value of -134.0 reflect a below-replacement projection. Unless roster construction leaves a late-round spot with no better option, there is little reason to spend a pick here.

His draft value is -134.0, which is below replacement level at the kicker position. He ranks K47 and #898 overall in Tier 9. The projection is 35.3 points, but the median simulated season is just 5.5 points, and at least 25 percent of simulated seasons produce zero. The numbers do not support spending a meaningful pick on him.

In 2023 he made 15 of 20 field goal attempts with 19 extra points on 22 attempts. His 2025 line was much smaller: 4 made field goals on 4 attempts and 7 extra points on 9 attempts. Over the three-year aggregate, he averages 9.5 field goals made, 12 attempts, 13 extra points, and 2.5 misses per season.

Very wide. The p10 and p25 are both 0.0 points. The median (p50) is 5.5 points. The p75 is 29.0 and the p90 reaches 67.2. The gap between the floor and the ceiling is among the largest in the band, reflecting a high-variance profile.

There is no market ADP available for Havrisik, which means he is not being consistently drafted across public platforms. He is effectively an undrafted player in most leagues.