Las Vegas Raiders — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

The Raiders have shown they can generate pass-rush pressure. Their three-year average sits at 39.7 sacks per season, and in 2023 they posted 46 sacks alongside 13 interceptions and 14 forced fumbles. That kind of production in a single season is real. The 2023 version of this defense also held opponents to 331 points allowed, with four games where the opposition scored 13 or fewer points. If that unit resurfaces, there is a floor here worth acknowledging. The bye falls in Week 13, which is a manageable spot for a streamer.

What the model projects

The projection is 96.3 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. The draft value is -49.5, meaning the projection lands well below replacement level at the DST position in a 12-team half-PPR format. That places the Raiders at DST27 and #207 overall, sitting in Tier 9.

The range of outcomes

The recent trend in the underlying stats is worth understanding plainly. Points allowed climbed from 331 in 2023 to 434 in 2024 and 432 in 2025. The three-year average is 399 points allowed per season. Sacks dropped from 46 in 2023 to 37 in 2024 and 36 in 2025, averaging 39.7 over the window. Interceptions fell from 13 in 2023 to 10 in 2024 and 8 in 2025, averaging 10.3. Forced fumbles were 14 in 2023, 6 in 2024, and 10 in 2025. Touchdowns scored by the defense were 3 in 2023, 1 in 2024, and the 2025 season added 1 safety. The 2023 season represents the ceiling this unit has demonstrated; the 2024 and 2025 seasons represent the more recent baseline. The gap between those two versions is wide.

How to draft him

The Raiders are not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. That tells you everything you need to know about timing: this is a late-round or waiver-wire option at best, not a pick you plan around. At DST27 and #207 overall in Tier 9, the projection sits below replacement level. The only realistic use case is as a streaming option in a week where the matchup sets up favorably, not as a rostered starter you carry all season. Draft your DST from higher in the rankings and revisit the Raiders only if the schedule aligns.

The projection is 96.3 fantasy points with a draft value of -49.5, placing them at DST27 and #207 overall in Tier 9. That is below replacement level in a 12-team half-PPR format. They are not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. The numbers do not support rostering them as a planned starter.

Over the past three seasons they averaged 39.7 sacks, 10.3 interceptions, 6.7 fumble recoveries, and 10.0 forced fumbles per year. Points allowed averaged 399 per season across that window, though 2024 and 2025 each came in at 432 or higher compared to 331 in 2023.

Week 13.

In 2023 the Raiders posted 46 sacks, 13 interceptions, 14 forced fumbles, 9 fumble recoveries, 3 defensive touchdowns, and allowed only 331 points. In 2024 and 2025 they allowed 434 and 432 points respectively, with sacks of 37 and 36 and interceptions of 10 and 8. The three-year averages reflect a unit that has trended away from that 2023 output, and the projection of 96.3 points sits below replacement level.