#109 overall · NO · 115.6 projected half-PPR pts · -14.4 Draft Value · Market ADP 83.6
Jordyn Tyson — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Jordyn Tyson is a wide receiver on New Orleans, sitting at WR48 and #109 overall in a 12-team half-PPR format. Those numbers place him in Tier 9 — deep in the late-round conversation — but his projection of 115.6 points gives him a real floor to work with. For a drafter hunting upside at the back end of a draft, the band tells the story: his p90 outcome lands at 188.8 points, a ceiling that represents a meaningful fantasy contributor. The question is whether you can get there, and the range of outcomes section addresses that honestly.
What the model projects
The projection is 115.6 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value is -14.4, meaning the projection sits below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a 12-team half-PPR league. The median simulated season (p50) comes in at 110.4 points — close to the point estimate, signaling a roughly symmetric distribution around the projection. His bye week is Week 8.
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide. At the pessimistic end, 10% of simulated seasons finish at or below 42.0 points (p10) — a near-zero fantasy contribution. The 25th percentile lands at 72.6 points, still a difficult season to roster through. The median sits at 110.4 points. Move to the optimistic side and the 75th percentile reaches 145.7 points, with the top-10% outcome at 188.8 points. That spread — from 42.0 to 188.8 — is among the widest variance profiles a drafter will encounter, which means Tyson is a high-risk, high-ceiling dart throw rather than a reliable floor play.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Market ADP is 83.6, drawn from two platforms, which translates to a round 7, pick 12 slot in a 12-team snake draft. The model has him at #109 overall and WR48. Draft him as a late-round lottery ticket with eyes open: the downside is real, the upside at 188.8 points is genuine, and the wide band means roster flexibility matters. Target him only after your starting lineup is secured — he is a depth and upside add, not a foundational piece. Keep his Week 8 bye in mind when constructing your roster.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
The model projects Tyson at 115.6 half-PPR fantasy points, with a median simulated season of 110.4 points.
In the top 10% of simulated seasons, Tyson finishes at or above 188.8 half-PPR points. His 75th-percentile outcome is 145.7 points.
His market ADP is 83.6 across two platforms, which works out to round 7, pick 12 in a 12-team snake draft.
He is below replacement level — his draft value is -14.4 in a 12-team half-PPR format, placing him at WR48 and #109 overall.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the numbers
The same names cash in your league every year
That isn't luck. Those managers have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written. Paste it in a couple of minutes and RotoAlpha writes the book on every rival: who reaches, who chases runs, who overpays. The rival report is free.
Get the book on your rivals →