#106 overall · TEN · 113.1 projected half-PPR pts · -9.4 Draft Value · Market ADP 102.4
Wan'Dale Robinson — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Wan'Dale Robinson posted back-to-back seasons of 140 targets, and in 2025 he turned that volume into 1,014 receiving yards and 4 receiving touchdowns on 92 receptions. That is a clear upward trajectory: 525 receiving yards in 2023, 699 in 2024, 1,014 in 2025. Over the three-year window he has averaged 119.3 targets, 81.7 receptions, and 746 receiving yards per season. The target share is real and it has been consistent. For a drafter who wants a high-floor slot receiver with proven volume, Robinson's recent résumé makes the conversation legitimate.
What the model projects
The projection is 113.1 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -9.4, meaning the projection lands below the replacement-level bar at wide receiver in a 12-team half-PPR league. He ranks #106 overall and WR49. He is a Tier 9 player on the board. Those numbers reflect where the position's depth sets the baseline — Robinson projects as a volume receiver whose point total does not clear the replacement threshold at WR in this format.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 87 | 1 | 78 | 60 | 525 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 103.2 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 140 | 93 | 699 | 3 | — | 0 | 0 | 136.2 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 140 | 92 | 1014 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 171.9 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 36.7 | 0.3 | 119.3 | 81.7 | 746 | 2.7 | 0.3 | — | — | 137.1 |
The range of outcomes
Robinson's three-year averages show a player whose target volume (119.3 per season) has been stable, but whose touchdown production has varied — 1 receiving score in 2023, 3 in 2024, 4 in 2025, averaging 2.7 per year. Touchdowns are the swing variable. A season closer to his 2023 floor (1 score, 525 yards) would push him well below his projection; a repeat of his 2025 ceiling (4 scores, 1,014 yards) would push him above it. He has also shown minimal rushing involvement (5 rush attempts per season on average), so his fantasy upside is almost entirely tied to the passing game. One fumble in 2025 is a minor note but not a pattern.
How to draft him
Market ADP has Robinson going at pick 102.4 — round 9, pick 6 in a 12-team draft (based on a median across 2 platforms). Our model places him at #106 overall and WR49. In a 12-team snake draft, that means you are spending a mid-to-late-round pick on a receiver who projects below replacement level at the position. If you want his target volume on your roster, round 9 is when the market says you need to act. Given his Tier 9 standing and negative draft value, he fits best as a depth piece or a high-volume handcuff to a WR-thin roster rather than a core building block.
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Questions drafters ask
His 2025 season was his best, but the projection of 113.1 half-PPR points and a draft value of -9.4 put him below replacement level at WR in a 12-team half-PPR league. He ranks WR49, which places him in Tier 9 on the board. The volume is real; the projected point total does not clear the positional bar.
Very consistent at the top line: 78 targets in 2023, then 140 in both 2024 and 2025, for a three-year average of 119.3 targets per season. Receptions have also been stable — 60, 93, and 92 over those three years, averaging 81.7.
Touchdowns. He scored 1 receiving TD in 2023, 3 in 2024, and 4 in 2025, averaging 2.7 per season over that span. His receiving yardage has grown steadily, but touchdown variance is what separates a useful WR2/flex season from a disappointing one.
Market ADP puts him at pick 102.4, which works out to round 9, pick 6 in a 12-team draft (median across 2 platforms). That is the window where he is currently being taken in public drafts.