#208 overall · GB · 223.8 projected half-PPR pts · -43.6 Draft Value · Market ADP 124.8
Jordan Love — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Jordan Love has been a full-time starter in Green Bay for three seasons, and the raw volume is real. Over that span he has averaged 481 pass attempts, 310.3 completions, 3,643 pass yards, and 26.7 passing touchdowns per season. His 2023 campaign stands as his peak: 579 attempts, 4,159 yards, and 32 touchdown passes. He also adds a rushing dimension — 176.3 rush yards per season on 40.7 attempts over the three-year window. His 2025 interception total dropped to 6 after posting 11 in each of the two prior seasons, a meaningful improvement in ball security. For a drafter who wants a QB with established starter volume and a demonstrated ceiling, Love's track record provides a concrete floor to build from.
What the model projects
The projection for Love in 2026 is 223.8 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -43.6, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the quarterback position. He ranks QB17 at his position and #208 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board. His bye week is 11.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 579 | 372 | 4159 | 32 | 11 | 50 | 247 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 326.1 |
| 2024 | 425 | 268 | 3389 | 25 | 11 | 25 | 83 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 238.9 |
| 2025 | 439 | 291 | 3381 | 23 | 6 | 47 | 199 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 237.1 |
| 3-yr avg | 481 | 310.3 | 3643 | 26.7 | 9.3 | 40.7 | 176.3 | 1.7 | — | — | — | — | 5.7 | — | — | 271.1 |
The range of outcomes
Love's three-season history illustrates genuine variance. His 2023 season — 579 attempts, 4,159 yards, 32 touchdowns — and his 2024 and 2025 seasons — 425 and 439 attempts, 3,389 and 3,381 yards, 25 and 23 touchdowns respectively — show a meaningful spread in production. The three-year averages of 9.3 interceptions and 5.7 fumbles per season are a consistent drag on fantasy scoring. The rushing contribution has also fluctuated: 247 yards and 4 touchdowns in 2023, down to 83 yards and 1 touchdown in 2024, then back to 199 yards with 0 rushing scores in 2025. A season closer to his 2023 ceiling pushes his value considerably higher; a season closer to his 2024 floor keeps him firmly in the QB17 range.
How to draft him
Love's market ADP is 124.8 — round 11, pick 5 in a 12-team draft, drawn from two platforms. Our board has him at #208 overall and QB17. In a standard snake draft, the quarterback position allows most managers to wait, and Love's adp reflects that dynamic. If you want him, round 11 is when the market says you need to spend the pick. His bye in Week 11 is worth noting for roster management purposes.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
Over 2023–2025, Love averaged 481 pass attempts, 310.3 completions, 3,643 pass yards, and 26.7 passing touchdowns per season. His peak was 2023: 579 attempts, 4,159 yards, and 32 touchdowns.
He is QB17 at his position and #208 overall, sitting in Tier 9. His projected points are 223.8 in half-PPR, with a draft value of -43.6, which is below replacement level at quarterback.
Yes, consistently. He averaged 9.3 interceptions and 5.7 fumbles per season over 2023–2025. His 2025 interception total improved to 6, but the three-year average reflects a recurring cost to his fantasy scoring.
His market ADP is 124.8, which works out to round 11, pick 5 in a 12-team draft. That is the point in the draft where the market has been taking him, based on data from two platforms.