#128 overall · WAS · 248.3 projected half-PPR pts · -19.1 Draft Value · Market ADP 73.6
Jayden Daniels — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Jayden Daniels brings a dual-threat profile that is genuinely rare at the quarterback position. In 2024 he posted 3,568 passing yards, 25 passing touchdowns, and 891 rushing yards with 6 rushing touchdowns on 148 carries — a rushing workload that most quarterbacks never approach in a full season. That ground contribution is the engine of his fantasy value: it adds a scoring and yardage floor that pure pocket passers simply do not have. His 2025 line — 1,262 passing yards, 8 passing touchdowns, 278 rushing yards, and 2 rushing touchdowns across 188 pass attempts and 58 rush attempts — is a reduced sample, but the rushing rate held. The three-year averages (2023–2025) show 584.5 rushing yards and 4 rushing touchdowns per season alongside 2,415 passing yards and 16.5 passing touchdowns, confirming the dual-threat identity is not a one-year anomaly. Washington's bye falls in Week 7, which is manageable. If you want a quarterback who can score from his legs on any given snap, Daniels is that player.
What the model projects
The projection for Daniels is 248.3 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -19.1, placing him QB11 and #128 overall — Tier 9 on the board. A negative draft value means the projection lands below the replacement-level threshold at quarterback in a 12-team half-PPR format. That is the number as it stands: 248.3 projected points, a draftValue of -19.1, and a position rank of QB11.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 480 | 331 | 3568 | 25 | 9 | 148 | 891 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 358.8 |
| 2025 | 188 | 114 | 1262 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 278 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 115.3 |
| 3-yr avg | 334 | 222.5 | 2415 | 16.5 | 6 | 103 | 584.5 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 239.1 |
The range of outcomes
The 2024 season and the 2025 season tell two very different stories, and that gap is the core of Daniels' outcome range. A full-season workload resembling 2024 — 480 pass attempts, 148 rush attempts, 891 rushing yards — produces a very different fantasy result than the 188-attempt, 58-carry, 1,262-yard passing line of 2025. His 2024 interception total of 9 and 5 fumbles also represent a turnover burden that can suppress scoring in any given week. On the upside, a healthy, full-season version of the 2024 Daniels — with that rushing volume intact — is a genuinely high-ceiling fantasy asset. On the downside, a repeat of the 2025 volume produces a below-replacement-level season. The three-year averages (584.5 rushing yards, 4 rushing TDs, 2,415 passing yards, 16.5 passing TDs) sit between those two poles and represent the realistic middle ground.
How to draft him
The market is currently drafting Daniels at pick 73.6 — that is Round 7, pick 2 in a 12-team draft (based on a median across two platforms). Our model has him at QB11 and #128 overall with a draft value of -19.1. If you are running a late-quarterback strategy and want a dual-threat floor, Round 7 is when you would need to commit to get him. His bye is Week 7, so plan your streaming options accordingly for that week. Given the negative draft value, he profiles as a depth or streaming option rather than an anchor of your roster — but the rushing upside means a full-season workload could outperform that projection.
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Questions drafters ask
In 2024 Daniels carried the ball 148 times for 891 rushing yards and 6 rushing touchdowns — a volume that anchors his fantasy floor regardless of how the passing game performs.
He is QB11 with a projected 248.3 half-PPR points and a draft value of -19.1, which places him #128 overall in Tier 9. The negative draft value means he projects below replacement level at quarterback in a standard 12-team half-PPR format.
The market is taking him at an average of pick 73.6 — Round 7, pick 2 in a 12-team draft — based on a median across two platforms. That is the pick you would need to spend to secure him.
In 2024 he had 480 pass attempts, 3,568 passing yards, 25 passing touchdowns, 148 rush attempts, and 891 rushing yards. In 2025 those lines fell to 188 pass attempts, 1,262 passing yards, 8 passing touchdowns, 58 rush attempts, and 278 rushing yards — a significant reduction across every category.