#56 overall · CHI · 124.9 projected half-PPR pts · +12.9 Draft Value · Market ADP 50.8
Colston Loveland — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Colston Loveland arrived in Chicago and immediately became a real piece of the offense. As a rookie in 2025, he drew 82 targets and turned them into 58 receptions for 713 yards and 6 touchdowns — a legitimate debut for a tight end entering a new system. The touchdown production is the headline: six scores on a first-year player at the position signals genuine red-zone trust from the coaching staff. The target volume backs that up. This is not a projection built on potential alone — there is a real 2025 season underneath it.
What the model projects
The model projects Loveland at 124.9 half-PPR fantasy points this season, generating a Draft Value of +12.9 above replacement level at the tight end position. That surplus places him #56 overall and TE4 on the board, sitting in Tier 7. The positive Draft Value means he is expected to outproduce what a freely available replacement-level tight end would give you — and at a position where that gap matters, 124.9 projected points represents a meaningful edge.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 82 | 58 | 713 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 136.1 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | -2 | — | 82 | 58 | 713 | 6 | — | — | 136.1 |
The range of outcomes
Loveland's profile carries the variance you'd expect from a second-year tight end still establishing himself as a true focal point. The floor is a player who saw 82 targets as a rookie and holds a defined role — that usage doesn't evaporate. The ceiling is a tight end who builds on 6 touchdown seasons, expands his route tree, and pushes into the upper tier of the position. The risk is the typical sophomore tight end question: can he sustain and grow the target share, or does the offense evolve in ways that redistribute looks? His bye falls in Week 10, which is worth noting for roster management in the back half of the season.
How to draft him
The market is currently taking Loveland at pick 50.8 on average — that's the 5th round, 3rd pick in a 12-team draft (5.03), based on a median across two platforms. Our model has him at #56 overall and TE4. You know what you're paying and you know where the model slots him — plan your board accordingly and decide in the fourth-to-fifth round turn whether you want to lock in your tight end or let the position ride a little longer.
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Questions drafters ask
In 2025, Loveland caught 58 of 82 targets for 713 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns. That is his entire NFL track record — one season — and it is the foundation the projection is built on.
The model projects 124.9 half-PPR fantasy points, a Draft Value of +12.9 above replacement level, ranking him #56 overall and TE4.
The market is currently taking him at an average pick of 50.8, which works out to round 5, pick 3 in a 12-team draft. If you want him, that is roughly when you need to spend the pick.
He has exactly one NFL season on record. The 82 targets and 6 touchdowns establish a real role, but whether he can sustain or grow that usage in year two is the central question — second-year tight ends can see their target share shift as offenses evolve around them.